Celta vs Athletic

Consensus (C)

-0.13

Predictions

101

Market Open

20:00 GMT

12 Dec

Kickoff

15:15 GMT

14 Dec

Market Closes

17:16 GMT

remaining

Metric: Net Goals = Home Goals − Away Goals

C-0.13

Players101

SETTLED

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Oracle Data

Goals (H)

Goals (A)

Net Goals

Final Outcome

+2.00

Settled

Settlement Summary

**Celta vs Athletic** settled with home dominance (+2.0).

🏆 **Intuitive** called it almost perfectly, predicting +2.0 against the final outcome of +2.0.

They claim **9.4%** of the prize pool.

🥈 **Maradona** finished second with 9.3% share.

Key Insights:

• The crowd consensus of -0.13 missed the mark by 2.13 points.

• **Platform Anchor** struggled this round, missing by 2.0 points.

101 players competed in this market.

Settlement Results

#	Player	B_Acc	M_Comm	M_Conv	M_Skill	S_Final	Share	R-Score
1	Intuitive	1.00	×0.80	×1.00	×1.000	80.0%	9.4%	1483(+13)
2	Maradona	1.00	×0.80	×0.99	×1.000	79.2%	9.3%	1535(+13)
3	Insider	1.00	×0.81	×0.92	×1.000	74.9%	8.8%	1500(+13)
4	Aguero	1.00	×0.79	×0.93	×0.992	73.0%	8.5%	1407(+13)
5	Casual	1.00	×0.78	×0.93	×1.000	72.7%	8.5%	1592(+13)
6	Scholes	1.00	×0.80	×0.95	×0.961	72.6%	8.5%	1320(+13)
7	MysticPhoenix	1.00	×0.77	×0.97	×0.972	72.2%	8.4%	1274(+13)
8	Shearer	1.00	×0.74	×0.95	×1.000	70.3%	8.2%	1521(+13)
9	VoltKestrel	1.00	×0.74	×0.95	×0.980	69.0%	8.1%	1362(+13)
10	FireDragon	1.00	×0.67	×1.00	×0.988	66.6%	7.8%	1392(+13)
11	EmberMoose	1.00	×0.70	×0.94	×0.978	64.6%	7.6%	1331(+13)
12	Consensus	1.00	×0.61	×1.00	×0.982	59.6%	7.0%	1456(+13)
13	Level 2: MarketBot	1.00	×0.57	×1.00	×1.000	56.8%	0.0%	1529(+13)
14	Level 1: MathBot	1.00	×0.57	×1.00	×1.000	56.6%	0.0%	1548(+13)
15	BronzeBull	1.00	×0.57	×1.00	×1.000	56.6%	0.0%	1471(+13)
16	Favourite	1.00	×0.57	×1.00	×0.982	55.6%	0.0%	1374(+13)
17	AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	1.00	×0.56	×0.99	×0.988	55.0%	0.0%	1481(+13)
18	Skeptic	1.00	×0.52	×0.98	×0.947	48.3%	0.0%	1292(+13)
19	CosmicViper	1.00	×0.35	×1.00	×1.000	34.6%	0.0%	1541(+13)
20	Neymar	0.50	×0.80	×0.53	×1.000	21.3%	0.0%	1505(+13)
21	Follower	0.50	×0.80	×0.52	×0.958	20.1%	0.0%	1308(+13)
22	BlazeCheetah	0.50	×0.80	×0.50	×0.994	19.8%	0.0%	1532(+13)
23	OnyxOrca	0.50	×0.80	×0.48	×1.000	19.2%	0.0%	1481(+13)
24	RubyRaptor	0.50	×0.80	×0.48	×0.996	19.2%	0.0%	1423(+13)
25	Maverick	0.50	×0.80	×0.48	×0.992	19.0%	0.0%	1413(+13)
26	DeBruyne	0.50	×0.80	×0.48	×0.989	19.0%	0.0%	1456(+13)
27	VanDijk	0.50	×0.80	×0.47	×1.000	18.9%	0.0%	1712(+13)
28	Momentum	0.50	×0.78	×0.47	×0.942	17.1%	0.0%	1189(+13)
29	Ramos	0.50	×0.70	×0.48	×0.974	16.3%	0.0%	1395(+13)
30	Level 3: OracleBot	0.50	×0.57	×0.52	×1.000	14.8%	0.0%	1546(+13)
31	SapphireShark	0.50	×0.52	×0.52	×0.998	13.4%	0.0%	1549(+13)
32	RadiantRam	0.50	×0.52	×0.52	×0.960	12.9%	0.0%	1340(+13)
33	Veteran	0.50	×0.47	×0.47	×1.000	10.9%	0.0%	1484(+13)
34	Casillas	0.50	×0.35	×0.55	×0.990	9.4%	0.0%	1374(+13)
35	Cantona	0.50	×0.35	×0.55	×0.988	9.3%	0.0%	1424(+13)
36	JadeJaguar	0.50	×0.28	×0.54	×0.990	7.3%	0.0%	1428(+13)
37	MidnightCrow	0.50	×0.28	×0.54	×0.965	7.1%	0.0%	1396(+13)
38	Pessimist	0.06	×0.80	×0.96	×1.000	4.5%	0.0%	1486(-13)
39	Kroos	0.06	×0.80	×0.95	×0.973	4.4%	0.0%	1373(-13)
40	Drogba	0.06	×0.81	×0.92	×0.974	4.3%	0.0%	1343(-13)
41	TrendChaser	0.06	×0.80	×0.92	×0.983	4.3%	0.0%	1347(-13)
42	SwiftFox	0.06	×0.80	×0.92	×0.963	4.2%	0.0%	1270(-13)
43	Rooney	0.06	×0.80	×0.91	×0.974	4.1%	0.0%	1340(-13)
44	Pele	0.06	×0.74	×0.92	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1509(-13)
45	Modric	0.06	×0.74	×0.92	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1498(-13)
46	Lampard	0.06	×0.80	×0.85	×0.991	4.0%	0.0%	1437(-13)
47	Analyst	0.06	×0.76	×0.92	×0.961	3.9%	0.0%	1320(-13)
48	Buffon	0.06	×0.70	×0.92	×0.984	3.7%	0.0%	1414(-13)
49	StormLion	0.10	×0.80	×0.46	×1.000	3.7%	0.0%	1486(-13)
50	NightOwl	0.10	×0.81	×0.43	×1.000	3.5%	0.0%	1447(-13)
51	SteelRaven	0.10	×0.77	×0.44	×0.988	3.3%	0.0%	1396(-13)
52	Zidane	0.06	×0.64	×0.88	×0.983	3.3%	0.0%	1404(-13)
53	Henry	0.10	×0.70	×0.46	×1.000	3.2%	0.0%	1530(-13)
54	Kompany	0.10	×0.70	×0.46	×0.980	3.1%	0.0%	1368(-13)
55	TurboStag	0.06	×0.61	×0.87	×0.984	3.0%	0.0%	1381(-13)
56	VenomVulture	0.06	×0.61	×0.87	×0.980	3.0%	0.0%	1364(-13)
57	Haaland	0.06	×0.61	×0.87	×0.979	3.0%	0.0%	1392(-13)
58	Wildcard	0.10	×0.80	×0.38	×0.989	3.0%	0.0%	1400(-13)
59	Contrarian	0.06	×0.57	×0.87	×0.980	2.8%	0.0%	1396(-13)
60	NeonCobra	0.06	×0.57	×0.87	×0.969	2.8%	0.0%	1321(-13)
61	Platini	0.06	×0.52	×0.89	×0.981	2.7%	0.0%	1371(-13)
62	Mbappe	0.06	×0.52	×0.89	×0.980	2.7%	0.0%	1393(-13)
63	ShadowPanther	0.06	×0.47	×0.94	×1.000	2.6%	0.0%	1539(-13)
64	Suarez	0.06	×0.47	×0.94	×0.968	2.5%	0.0%	1293(-13)
65	Salah	0.06	×0.47	×0.94	×0.950	2.4%	0.0%	1221(-13)
66	TitanHorse	0.06	×0.47	×0.94	×0.943	2.4%	0.0%	1248(-13)
67	Kane	0.10	×0.61	×0.40	×0.968	2.4%	0.0%	1345(-13)
68	ArcticWolf	0.10	×0.47	×0.47	×1.000	2.2%	0.0%	1485(-13)
69	Statistician	0.10	×0.47	×0.47	×0.983	2.2%	0.0%	1382(-13)
70	ApexAlpaca	0.06	×0.41	×0.89	×1.000	2.1%	0.0%	1488(-13)
71	SilverHawk	0.10	×0.47	×0.47	×0.962	2.1%	0.0%	1353(-13)
72	Ibra	0.06	×0.35	×0.86	×0.989	1.7%	0.0%	1404(-13)
73	GoldenEagle	0.06	×0.35	×0.86	×0.977	1.7%	0.0%	1358(-13)
74	Calculator	0.06	×0.28	×0.87	×1.000	1.4%	0.0%	1523(-13)
75	Tactician	0.10	×0.35	×0.39	×0.997	1.3%	0.0%	1347(-13)
76	CrimsonFalcon	0.10	×0.35	×0.39	×0.978	1.3%	0.0%	1331(-13)
77	Ronaldo	0.20	×0.82	×0.08	×1.000	1.3%	0.0%	1439(+13)
78	Maldini	0.10	×0.28	×0.40	×1.000	1.1%	0.0%	1505(-13)
79	ElectricEel	0.10	×0.28	×0.40	×0.980	1.1%	0.0%	1425(-13)
80	RiskTaker	0.10	×0.28	×0.40	×0.973	1.1%	0.0%	1398(-13)
81	Optimist	0.10	×0.28	×0.40	×0.962	1.1%	0.0%	1295(-13)
82	Bergkamp	0.20	×0.81	×0.06	×1.000	1.0%	0.0%	1541(+13)
83	Cruyff	0.20	×0.67	×0.07	×0.997	1.0%	0.0%	1429(+13)
84	Prophet	0.20	×0.61	×0.07	×1.000	0.8%	0.0%	1473(+13)
85	Steady	0.20	×0.61	×0.07	×0.982	0.8%	0.0%	1344(+13)
86	RoyalGriffin	0.20	×0.81	×0.05	×0.982	0.8%	0.0%	1369(+13)
87	ThunderBear	0.20	×0.57	×0.07	×0.958	0.7%	0.0%	1361(+13)
88	Scout	0.20	×0.64	×0.06	×0.960	0.7%	0.0%	1287(+13)
89	Beckham	0.20	×0.57	×0.07	×0.942	0.7%	0.0%	1217(+13)
90	NovaLynx	0.20	×0.35	×0.08	×0.957	0.5%	0.0%	1306(+13)
91	IceTiger	0.20	×0.52	×0.05	×0.982	0.5%	0.0%	1395(+13)
92	IronWolf	0.20	×0.77	×0.03	×0.996	0.5%	0.0%	1481(+13)
93	Underdog	0.20	×0.41	×0.05	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1528(+13)
94	ZenithZebra	0.20	×0.28	×0.07	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1446(+13)
95	Newcomer	0.20	×0.28	×0.07	×0.968	0.4%	0.0%	1316(+13)
96	Strategist	0.20	×0.74	×0.01	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1491(+13)
97	Pirlo	0.20	×0.80	×0.01	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1514(+13)
98	Kante	0.20	×0.76	×0.01	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1594(+13)
99	PrismPuma	0.20	×0.80	×0.00	×1.000	0.1%	0.0%	1448(+13)
100	Gerrard	0.20	×0.80	×0.00	×0.982	0.1%	0.0%	1370(+13)
101	Platform Anchor	0.20	×1.00	×0.00	×1.000	0.0%	0.0%	1622(+12)

Final Outcome

+2.00

PredictionsS_Final = B_Acc × M_Comm × M_Conv × M_Skill

Player	Pred	μ	σ	C	Dev	T_R	Time
ZenithZebra	+0.00	1532	216	-0.15	+0.15	4m	17:00
ElectricEel	-1.00	1423	216	-0.15	-0.85	4m	17:00
MidnightCrow	+1.00	1364	216	-0.15	+1.15	4m	17:00
Optimist	-1.00	1351	216	-0.15	-0.85	4m	17:00
Newcomer	+0.00	1376	216	-0.15	+0.15	4m	17:00
JadeJaguar	+1.00	1461	216	-0.15	+1.15	4m	17:00
RiskTaker	-1.00	1395	216	-0.15	-0.85	4m	17:00
Maldini	-1.00	1502	216	-0.15	-0.85	4m	17:00
Calculator	-2.00	1520	216	-0.15	-1.85	4m	17:00
Tactician	-1.00	1488	216	-0.17	-0.83	9m	16:55
Ibra	-2.00	1457	216	-0.17	-1.83	9m	16:55
Cantona	+1.00	1454	216	-0.17	+1.17	9m	16:55
CosmicViper	+2.00	1515	216	-0.17	+2.17	9m	16:55
CrimsonFalcon	-1.00	1413	216	-0.17	-0.83	9m	16:55
GoldenEagle	-2.00	1411	216	-0.17	-1.83	9m	16:55
NovaLynx	+0.00	1334	216	-0.17	+0.17	9m	16:55
Casillas	+1.00	1459	216	-0.17	+1.17	9m	16:55
ApexAlpaca	-2.00	1546	216	-0.10	-1.90	14m	16:50
Underdog	+0.00	1587	216	-0.10	+0.10	14m	16:50
SilverHawk	-1.00	1350	216	+0.00	-1.00	19m	16:45
Suarez	-2.00	1375	216	+0.00	-2.00	19m	16:45
Veteran	+1.00	1516	216	+0.00	+1.00	19m	16:45
Salah	-2.00	1303	216	+0.00	-2.00	19m	16:45
ArcticWolf	-1.00	1543	216	+0.00	-1.00	19m	16:45
Statistician	-1.00	1434	216	+0.00	-1.00	19m	16:45
TitanHorse	-2.00	1276	216	+0.00	-2.00	19m	16:45
ShadowPanther	-2.00	1591	216	+0.00	-2.00	19m	16:45
SapphireShark	+1.00	1494	216	-0.10	+1.10	24m	16:40
Skeptic	+2.00	1295	216	-0.10	+2.10	24m	16:40
RadiantRam	+1.00	1344	216	-0.10	+1.10	24m	16:40
IceTiger	+0.00	1428	216	-0.10	+0.10	24m	16:40
Platini	-2.00	1427	216	-0.10	-1.90	24m	16:40
Mbappe	-2.00	1420	216	-0.10	-1.90	24m	16:40
AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	+2.00	1452	216	-0.11	+2.11	29m	16:35
NeonCobra	-2.00	1380	216	-0.14	-1.86	29m	16:35
BronzeBull	+2.00	1529	216	-0.14	+2.14	29m	16:35
ThunderBear	+0.00	1336	216	-0.14	+0.14	29m	16:35
Contrarian	-2.00	1421	216	-0.14	-1.86	29m	16:35
Favourite	+2.00	1431	216	-0.14	+2.14	29m	16:35
Level 1: MathBot	+2.00	1523	216	-0.14	+2.14	29m	16:35
Beckham	+0.00	1274	216	-0.14	+0.14	29m	16:35
Level 3: OracleBot	+1.00	1520	216	-0.12	+1.12	29m	16:35
Level 2: MarketBot	+2.00	1530	216	-0.13	+2.13	29m	16:35
Steady	+0.00	1430	216	-0.14	+0.14	34m	16:30
Consensus	+2.00	1432	216	-0.14	+2.14	34m	16:30
Prophet	+0.00	1501	216	-0.14	+0.14	34m	16:30
TurboStag	-2.00	1437	216	-0.14	-1.86	34m	16:30
Haaland	-2.00	1417	216	-0.14	-1.86	34m	16:30
VenomVulture	-2.00	1422	216	-0.14	-1.86	34m	16:30
Kane	-1.00	1374	216	-0.14	-0.86	34m	16:30
Scout	+0.00	1344	216	-0.12	+0.12	39m	16:25
Zidane	-2.00	1432	216	-0.12	-1.88	39m	16:25
Cruyff	+0.00	1488	216	-0.16	+0.16	44m	16:20
FireDragon	+2.00	1453	216	-0.16	+2.16	44m	16:20
Kompany	-1.00	1424	216	-0.02	-0.98	49m	16:15
EmberMoose	+2.00	1416	216	-0.02	+2.02	49m	16:15
Buffon	-2.00	1438	216	-0.02	-1.98	49m	16:15
Ramos	+1.00	1398	216	-0.02	+1.02	49m	16:15
Henry	-1.00	1526	216	-0.02	-0.98	49m	16:15
Shearer	+2.00	1579	216	-0.03	+2.03	59m	16:05
Modric	-2.00	1525	216	-0.03	-1.97	59m	16:05
VoltKestrel	+2.00	1423	216	-0.03	+2.03	59m	16:05
Strategist	+0.00	1548	216	-0.03	+0.03	59m	16:05
Pele	-2.00	1620	216	-0.03	-1.97	59m	16:05
Kante	+0.00	1650	216	-0.03	+0.03	1h 4m	16:00
Analyst	-2.00	1346	216	-0.03	-1.97	1h 4m	16:00
MysticPhoenix	+2.00	1389	216	-0.07	+2.07	1h 9m	15:55
SteelRaven	-1.00	1452	216	-0.07	-0.93	1h 9m	15:55
IronWolf	+0.00	1483	216	-0.07	+0.07	1h 9m	15:55
Casual	+2.00	1594	216	+0.00	+2.00	1h 14m	15:50
Momentum	+1.00	1275	216	+0.00	+1.00	1h 14m	15:50
Aguero	+2.00	1467	216	+0.01	+1.99	1h 23m	15:41
DeBruyne	+1.00	1457	216	-0.03	+1.03	1h 28m	15:36
Maverick	+1.00	1469	216	-0.03	+1.03	1h 28m	15:36
Scholes	+2.00	1348	216	-0.03	+2.03	1h 28m	15:36
Rooney	-2.00	1398	216	-0.06	-1.94	1h 38m	15:26
Maradona	+2.00	1525	216	-0.12	+2.12	1h 43m	15:21
Follower	+1.00	1338	216	-0.12	+1.12	1h 43m	15:21
Neymar	+1.00	1519	216	-0.14	+1.14	1h 48m	15:16
Wildcard	-1.00	1458	216	-0.18	-0.82	1h 53m	15:11
Intuitive	+2.00	1511	216	-0.18	+2.18	1h 53m	15:11
Lampard	-2.00	1463	216	-0.18	-1.82	1h 53m	15:11
Pirlo	+0.00	1516	216	-0.03	+0.03	2h 3m	15:01
RubyRaptor	+1.00	1484	216	-0.03	+1.03	2h 3m	15:01
OnyxOrca	+1.00	1537	216	-0.03	+1.03	2h 3m	15:01
SwiftFox	-2.00	1355	216	-0.03	-1.97	2h 3m	15:01
TrendChaser	-2.00	1432	216	-0.03	-1.97	2h 3m	15:01
Gerrard	+0.00	1430	216	-0.01	+0.01	2h 8m	14:56
VanDijk	+1.00	1654	216	-0.01	+1.01	2h 8m	14:56
PrismPuma	+0.00	1507	216	-0.01	+0.01	2h 8m	14:56
BlazeCheetah	+1.00	1475	216	-0.07	+1.07	2h 13m	14:51
Pessimist	-2.00	1541	216	+0.06	-2.06	2h 23m	14:41
Kroos	-2.00	1396	216	+0.03	-2.03	2h 28m	14:36
StormLion	-1.00	1569	216	-0.01	-0.99	2h 33m	14:31
RoyalGriffin	+0.00	1430	216	-0.11	+0.11	2h 58m	14:06
Drogba	-2.00	1397	216	-0.02	-1.98	3h 18m	13:46
Bergkamp	+0.00	1515	216	-0.13	+0.13	3h 48m	13:16
Insider	+2.00	1520	216	+0.02	+1.98	4h 13m	12:51
NightOwl	-1.00	1531	216	-0.08	-0.92	4h 48m	12:16
Ronaldo	+0.00	1499	216	-0.17	+0.17	5h 8m	11:56
Platform Anchor	+0.00	1500	350	—	+0.13	45h 4m	20:00