Rules & Mechanics

BeatTheBots is a Co-operative Consensus Network.

Purchase a Series Data Pass to access live aggregate market intelligence across 3 designated matches, make your event predictions which will contribute to the platform consensus. Rewards are paid based on prediction performance and the amount you pay for the Data Pass has no bearing on your reward.

01 Series Data Pass & Pricing

The Portfolio Model

Each series bundles 3 matches into a single Data Pass. You predict all 3 to compete.

• Series Data Pass: One purchase unlocks all 3 markets in the series

• Series Price: Sum of the 3 individual market fees (each priced by unique players)

• Data Contribution: Your predictions enrich the consensus model for all participants

Dynamic Pricing Per Market

Each market's fee scales with participation. More players = richer consensus = higher fee.

N = 1£0.01

N = 50£0.50

N = 100£0.67

N = 1000+~£1.00

N = unique players with predictions in that market

02 Your Predictions

• What You Predict: Net Goals for each match (Home Score − Away Score)

Examples: +2 (home wins by 2), 0 (draw), −1 (away wins by 1)

• Requirement: You must predict all 3 matches before the series closes

• Revisions: Update your forecasts as many times as you like until each match ends

• Final Snapshot: Your prediction at match end is locked and scored

03 The Gatekeeper

Beat the Bot to Earn

The Gatekeeper (Level 2 Bot) is your eligibility bar for Data Quality Rewards.

• Competence Gate: Your total series score must exceed the Gatekeeper's score

• If You Beat It: You qualify for Data Quality Rewards

• If You Don't: No rewards, but you keep your data access and R-Score updates

The Gatekeeper ensures only skilled analysts qualify for rewards. Lucky guessers get filtered out.

04 Scoring

Each match is scored separately. Your Series Score = sum of 3 match scores.

Match Score = Accuracy × Timing × Conviction × Skill

Accuracy

How close to the actual Net Goals? Uses inverse square (1 / (1 + Error²))

Timing

Earlier predictions score higher. Decays from 100% → 0% by match end.

Conviction

How far from consensus? Copying the crowd = 0 points. Bold + correct = bonus.

Skill

Based on your R-Score history. Novice penalty, no veteran bonus.

05 Data Quality Rewards

• What We Value: High-quality prediction data that improves our models

• Eligibility: Only players who beat the Gatekeeper qualify for rewards

• Your Share: Proportional to your Series Score vs sum of all eligible scores

Rewards are determined by the platform based on data value, not entry fees.

06 R-Score (Analyst Rating)

• Rating System: Modified Glicko-2 tracking your long-term reliability

• Consistency Matters: High uncertainty (σ) = unproven = skill penalty

• Win/Loss/Draw: Beat consensus = win, lose to consensus = loss, match = draw

Legal Disclaimer: BeatTheBots is a skill-based analytical platform. Data Pass fees purchase a license for market data analysis and platform infrastructure. Rewards are determined by data quality metrics and distributed at the sole discretion of the platform.

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