Sunderland vs Newcastle

Consensus (C)

-0.11

Predictions

101

Market Open

14:27 GMT

12 Dec

Kickoff

14:00 GMT

14 Dec

Market Closes

16:05 GMT

remaining

Metric: Net Goals = Home Goals − Away Goals

C-0.11

Players101

SETTLED

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Oracle Data

Final Score

Goals (H)

Goals (A)

Net Goals

Final Outcome

+1.00

Settled

Settlement Summary

**Sunderland vs Newcastle** settled with home dominance (+1.0).

🏆 **NightOwl** called it almost perfectly, predicting +1.0 against the final outcome of +1.0.

They claim **6.4%** of the prize pool.

🥈 **Newcomer** finished second with 5.6% share.

Key Insights:

• The crowd consensus of -0.11 missed the mark by 1.11 points.

• **Platform Anchor** struggled this round, missing by 1.0 points.

101 players competed in this market.

Settlement Results

#	Player	B_Acc	M_Comm	M_Conv	M_Skill	S_Final	Share	R-Score
1	NightOwl	1.00	×0.80	×0.56	×1.000	44.7%	6.4%	1454(+10)
2	Newcomer	1.00	×0.81	×0.51	×0.968	39.7%	5.6%	1291(+10)
3	Level 3: OracleBot	1.00	×0.80	×0.49	×1.000	38.9%	5.5%	1486(+11)
4	Pessimist	1.00	×0.76	×0.51	×1.000	38.8%	5.5%	1451(+10)
5	Veteran	1.00	×0.76	×0.51	×1.000	38.8%	5.5%	1471(+10)
6	Follower	0.50	×0.80	×1.00	×0.958	38.4%	5.5%	1286(+10)
7	Kroos	1.00	×0.80	×0.49	×0.973	37.9%	5.4%	1304(+10)
8	Scout	1.00	×0.79	×0.49	×0.960	37.6%	5.3%	1288(+10)
9	Strategist	0.50	×0.75	×1.00	×1.000	37.3%	5.3%	1492(+11)
10	IceTiger	0.50	×0.79	×0.96	×0.982	37.3%	5.3%	1361(+10)
11	ArcticWolf	0.50	×0.76	×0.97	×1.000	37.1%	5.3%	1424(+11)
12	MysticPhoenix	1.00	×0.80	×0.48	×0.972	37.0%	5.3%	1217(+10)
13	Drogba	0.50	×0.75	×1.00	×0.974	36.3%	5.2%	1341(+10)
14	Mbappe	0.50	×0.76	×0.97	×0.980	36.3%	5.2%	1337(+10)
15	Momentum	1.00	×0.80	×0.46	×0.942	35.0%	5.0%	1119(+10)
16	Salah	0.50	×0.73	×1.00	×0.950	34.7%	4.9%	1184(+11)
17	Level 1: MathBot	1.00	×0.62	×0.53	×1.000	33.1%	4.7%	1556(+11)
18	AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	1.00	×0.62	×0.53	×0.988	32.6%	4.6%	1549(+10)
19	IronWolf	0.50	×0.66	×0.99	×0.996	32.3%	4.6%	1409(+11)
20	Level 2: MarketBot	1.00	×0.63	×0.50	×1.000	31.4%	0.0%	1525(+10)
21	Ibra	1.00	×0.63	×0.50	×0.989	31.0%	0.0%	1345(+11)
22	SteelRaven	1.00	×0.63	×0.50	×0.988	31.0%	0.0%	1384(+11)
23	Cantona	1.00	×0.59	×0.53	×0.988	30.9%	0.0%	1353(+10)
24	RoyalGriffin	1.00	×0.55	×0.53	×0.982	28.6%	0.0%	1282(+11)
25	Rooney	0.50	×0.59	×0.99	×0.974	28.6%	0.0%	1374(+11)
26	NeonCobra	0.50	×0.55	×1.00	×0.969	26.4%	0.0%	1306(+11)
27	TitanHorse	0.50	×0.55	×1.00	×0.943	25.7%	0.0%	1225(+10)
28	SapphireShark	0.50	×0.50	×1.00	×0.998	25.0%	0.0%	1535(+11)
29	Cruyff	0.50	×0.50	×1.00	×0.997	25.0%	0.0%	1452(+10)
30	Maldini	1.00	×0.45	×0.50	×1.000	22.5%	0.0%	1469(+10)
31	RubyRaptor	1.00	×0.45	×0.50	×0.996	22.4%	0.0%	1328(+10)
32	Suarez	0.50	×0.39	×0.98	×0.968	18.4%	0.0%	1281(+10)
33	Henry	1.00	×0.33	×0.55	×1.000	17.9%	0.0%	1472(+10)
34	Tactician	1.00	×0.33	×0.55	×0.997	17.8%	0.0%	1297(+10)
35	RiskTaker	1.00	×0.33	×0.55	×0.973	17.4%	0.0%	1385(+11)
36	Calculator	0.50	×0.33	×1.00	×1.000	16.3%	0.0%	1500(+10)
37	Skeptic	0.50	×0.33	×1.00	×0.947	15.4%	0.0%	1258(+10)
38	Zidane	0.20	×0.81	×0.50	×0.983	8.0%	0.0%	1345(-10)
39	RadiantRam	0.20	×0.80	×0.49	×0.960	7.5%	0.0%	1270(-11)
40	BlazeCheetah	0.20	×0.80	×0.46	×0.994	7.4%	0.0%	1533(-10)
41	Bergkamp	0.10	×0.80	×0.91	×1.000	7.3%	0.0%	1460(-11)
42	Neymar	0.10	×0.79	×0.90	×1.000	7.1%	0.0%	1533(-11)
43	ShadowPanther	0.10	×0.79	×0.90	×1.000	7.1%	0.0%	1469(-10)
44	Casillas	0.10	×0.79	×0.90	×0.990	7.1%	0.0%	1317(-11)
45	Insider	0.20	×0.79	×0.43	×1.000	6.9%	0.0%	1443(-11)
46	Underdog	0.10	×0.76	×0.88	×1.000	6.7%	0.0%	1471(-10)
47	Casual	0.10	×0.80	×0.83	×1.000	6.6%	0.0%	1535(-10)
48	VoltKestrel	0.10	×0.76	×0.88	×0.980	6.6%	0.0%	1295(-10)
49	ThunderBear	0.10	×0.77	×0.88	×0.958	6.5%	0.0%	1293(-10)
50	Buffon	0.10	×0.71	×0.86	×0.984	6.0%	0.0%	1344(-10)
51	OnyxOrca	0.20	×0.75	×0.39	×1.000	5.9%	0.0%	1425(-11)
52	VanDijk	0.20	×0.80	×0.36	×1.000	5.8%	0.0%	1657(-10)
53	CosmicViper	0.20	×0.80	×0.36	×1.000	5.8%	0.0%	1532(-11)
54	Lampard	0.20	×0.75	×0.39	×0.991	5.8%	0.0%	1402(-11)
55	Scholes	0.10	×0.69	×0.87	×0.961	5.8%	0.0%	1286(-10)
56	ElectricEel	0.20	×0.75	×0.39	×0.980	5.8%	0.0%	1322(-10)
57	Maradona	0.20	×0.71	×0.40	×1.000	5.7%	0.0%	1514(-10)
58	MidnightCrow	0.20	×0.66	×0.41	×0.965	5.2%	0.0%	1351(-10)
59	PrismPuma	0.10	×0.59	×0.86	×1.000	5.1%	0.0%	1402(-10)
60	Modric	0.10	×0.59	×0.86	×1.000	5.1%	0.0%	1449(-11)
61	ApexAlpaca	0.10	×0.55	×0.86	×1.000	4.7%	0.0%	1455(-11)
62	Ronaldo	0.10	×0.55	×0.86	×1.000	4.7%	0.0%	1349(-10)
63	VenomVulture	0.10	×0.55	×0.86	×0.980	4.6%	0.0%	1273(-10)
64	SwiftFox	0.10	×0.50	×0.86	×0.963	4.1%	0.0%	1225(-10)
65	Pele	0.10	×0.45	×0.89	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1475(-10)
66	BronzeBull	0.10	×0.45	×0.89	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1367(-11)
67	Steady	0.20	×0.45	×0.43	×0.982	3.8%	0.0%	1251(-10)
68	NovaLynx	0.20	×0.45	×0.43	×0.957	3.7%	0.0%	1280(-10)
69	Beckham	0.20	×0.45	×0.43	×0.942	3.6%	0.0%	1202(-11)
70	DeBruyne	0.10	×0.39	×0.88	×0.989	3.4%	0.0%	1373(-11)
71	Gerrard	0.10	×0.39	×0.88	×0.982	3.4%	0.0%	1303(-10)
72	Contrarian	0.10	×0.39	×0.88	×0.980	3.4%	0.0%	1342(-10)
73	Maverick	0.20	×0.39	×0.42	×0.992	3.2%	0.0%	1357(-11)
74	Consensus	0.50	×0.83	×0.07	×0.982	2.9%	0.0%	1447(+10)
75	StormLion	0.50	×0.75	×0.07	×1.000	2.6%	0.0%	1522(+11)
76	Pirlo	0.20	×0.33	×0.38	×1.000	2.5%	0.0%	1423(-10)
77	Shearer	0.20	×0.33	×0.38	×1.000	2.5%	0.0%	1489(-10)
78	Statistician	0.20	×0.33	×0.38	×0.983	2.4%	0.0%	1322(-11)
79	Kompany	0.20	×0.33	×0.38	×0.980	2.4%	0.0%	1346(-10)
80	Kane	0.20	×0.33	×0.38	×0.968	2.4%	0.0%	1256(-10)
81	Optimist	0.20	×0.33	×0.38	×0.962	2.4%	0.0%	1227(-10)
82	Haaland	0.50	×0.71	×0.06	×0.979	2.2%	0.0%	1321(+10)
83	Ramos	0.50	×0.59	×0.07	×0.974	1.9%	0.0%	1347(+11)
84	Wildcard	0.50	×0.66	×0.06	×0.989	1.9%	0.0%	1407(+11)
85	Analyst	0.50	×0.66	×0.06	×0.961	1.8%	0.0%	1332(+11)
86	Kante	0.50	×0.50	×0.07	×1.000	1.8%	0.0%	1568(+10)
87	TrendChaser	0.50	×0.69	×0.05	×0.983	1.8%	0.0%	1289(+11)
88	EmberMoose	0.50	×0.69	×0.05	×0.978	1.8%	0.0%	1304(+10)
89	Favourite	0.50	×0.76	×0.05	×0.982	1.7%	0.0%	1408(+11)
90	SilverHawk	0.50	×0.76	×0.05	×0.962	1.7%	0.0%	1364(+10)
91	ZenithZebra	0.50	×0.33	×0.09	×1.000	1.4%	0.0%	1424(+10)
92	FireDragon	0.50	×0.79	×0.03	×0.988	1.2%	0.0%	1382(+10)
93	Aguero	0.50	×0.63	×0.04	×0.992	1.2%	0.0%	1348(+11)
94	TurboStag	0.50	×0.63	×0.04	×0.984	1.1%	0.0%	1401(+10)
95	JadeJaguar	0.50	×0.39	×0.05	×0.990	0.9%	0.0%	1405(+10)
96	Prophet	0.50	×0.79	×0.02	×1.000	0.9%	0.0%	1449(+10)
97	Platini	0.50	×0.39	×0.05	×0.981	0.9%	0.0%	1322(+10)
98	CrimsonFalcon	0.50	×0.39	×0.05	×0.978	0.9%	0.0%	1307(+10)
99	Intuitive	0.50	×0.45	×0.04	×1.000	0.8%	0.0%	1480(+10)
100	GoldenEagle	0.50	×0.81	×0.02	×0.977	0.8%	0.0%	1298(+10)
101	Platform Anchor	0.50	×1.00	×0.00	×1.000	0.0%	0.0%	1645(+10)

Final Outcome

+1.00

PredictionsS_Final = B_Acc × M_Comm × M_Conv × M_Skill

Player	Pred	μ	σ	C	Dev	T_R	Time
Shearer	-1.00	1579	216	-0.18	-0.82	4m	15:45
RiskTaker	+1.00	1395	216	-0.18	+1.18	4m	15:45
Kane	-1.00	1374	216	-0.18	-0.82	4m	15:45
Pirlo	-1.00	1516	216	-0.18	-0.82	4m	15:45
Optimist	-1.00	1351	216	-0.18	-0.82	4m	15:45
Skeptic	+2.00	1295	216	-0.18	+2.18	4m	15:45
Kompany	-1.00	1424	216	-0.18	-0.82	4m	15:45
Calculator	+2.00	1520	216	-0.18	+2.18	4m	15:45
Tactician	+1.00	1488	216	-0.18	+1.18	4m	15:45
Henry	+1.00	1526	216	-0.18	+1.18	4m	15:45
ZenithZebra	+0.00	1532	216	-0.18	+0.18	4m	15:45
Statistician	-1.00	1434	216	-0.18	-0.82	4m	15:45
Contrarian	-2.00	1421	216	-0.10	-1.90	9m	15:40
CrimsonFalcon	+0.00	1413	216	-0.10	+0.10	9m	15:40
JadeJaguar	+0.00	1461	216	-0.10	+0.10	9m	15:40
Gerrard	-2.00	1430	216	-0.10	-1.90	9m	15:40
Platini	+0.00	1427	216	-0.10	+0.10	9m	15:40
Maverick	-1.00	1469	216	-0.10	-0.90	9m	15:40
Suarez	+2.00	1375	216	-0.10	+2.10	9m	15:40
DeBruyne	-2.00	1457	216	-0.10	-1.90	9m	15:40
NovaLynx	-1.00	1334	216	-0.08	-0.92	14m	15:35
Intuitive	+0.00	1511	216	-0.08	+0.08	14m	15:35
BronzeBull	-2.00	1529	216	-0.08	-1.92	14m	15:35
Steady	-1.00	1430	216	-0.08	-0.92	14m	15:35
Maldini	+1.00	1502	216	-0.08	+1.08	14m	15:35
Beckham	-1.00	1274	216	-0.08	-0.92	14m	15:35
Pele	-2.00	1620	216	-0.08	-1.92	14m	15:35
RubyRaptor	+1.00	1484	216	-0.08	+1.08	14m	15:35
SapphireShark	+2.00	1494	216	-0.16	+2.16	19m	15:30
Kante	+0.00	1650	216	-0.16	+0.16	19m	15:30
SwiftFox	-2.00	1355	216	-0.16	-1.84	19m	15:30
Cruyff	+2.00	1488	216	-0.16	+2.16	19m	15:30
Ronaldo	-2.00	1499	216	-0.15	-1.85	24m	15:25
ApexAlpaca	-2.00	1546	216	-0.15	-1.85	24m	15:25
RoyalGriffin	+1.00	1430	216	-0.15	+1.15	24m	15:25
VenomVulture	-2.00	1422	216	-0.15	-1.85	24m	15:25
NeonCobra	+2.00	1380	216	-0.15	+2.15	24m	15:25
TitanHorse	+2.00	1276	216	-0.15	+2.15	24m	15:25
Ramos	+0.00	1398	216	-0.14	+0.14	29m	15:20
Cantona	+1.00	1454	216	-0.14	+1.14	29m	15:20
Modric	-2.00	1525	216	-0.14	-1.86	29m	15:20
Rooney	+2.00	1398	216	-0.14	+2.14	29m	15:20
PrismPuma	-2.00	1507	216	-0.14	-1.86	29m	15:20
Level 1: MathBot	+1.00	1523	216	-0.14	+1.14	34m	15:15
AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	+1.00	1452	216	-0.14	+1.14	34m	15:15
Ibra	+1.00	1457	216	-0.08	+1.08	34m	15:15
Aguero	+0.00	1467	216	-0.08	+0.08	34m	15:15
SteelRaven	+1.00	1452	216	-0.08	+1.08	34m	15:15
TurboStag	+0.00	1437	216	-0.08	+0.08	34m	15:15
Level 2: MarketBot	+1.00	1530	216	-0.08	+1.08	34m	15:15
MidnightCrow	-1.00	1364	216	-0.12	-0.88	39m	15:10
IronWolf	+2.00	1483	216	-0.12	+2.12	39m	15:10
Wildcard	+0.00	1458	216	-0.12	+0.12	39m	15:10
Analyst	+0.00	1346	216	-0.12	+0.12	39m	15:10
TrendChaser	+0.00	1432	216	-0.12	+0.12	44m	15:05
EmberMoose	+0.00	1416	216	-0.12	+0.12	44m	15:05
Scholes	-2.00	1348	216	-0.12	-1.88	44m	15:05
Buffon	-2.00	1438	216	-0.14	-1.86	49m	15:00
Haaland	+0.00	1417	216	-0.14	+0.14	49m	15:00
Maradona	-1.00	1525	216	-0.14	-0.86	49m	15:00
Salah	+2.00	1303	216	-0.18	+2.18	54m	14:55
ElectricEel	-1.00	1423	216	-0.15	-0.85	59m	14:50
Strategist	+2.00	1548	216	-0.15	+2.15	59m	14:50
Lampard	-1.00	1463	216	-0.15	-0.85	59m	14:50
OnyxOrca	-1.00	1537	216	-0.15	-0.85	59m	14:50
Drogba	+2.00	1397	216	-0.15	+2.15	59m	14:50
StormLion	+0.00	1569	216	-0.15	+0.15	59m	14:50
Mbappe	+2.00	1420	216	-0.10	+2.10	1h 4m	14:45
Underdog	-2.00	1587	216	-0.10	-1.90	1h 4m	14:45
ArcticWolf	+2.00	1543	216	-0.10	+2.10	1h 4m	14:45
VoltKestrel	-2.00	1423	216	-0.10	-1.90	1h 4m	14:45
Veteran	+1.00	1516	216	-0.10	+1.10	1h 4m	14:45
Favourite	+0.00	1431	216	-0.10	+0.10	1h 4m	14:45
SilverHawk	+0.00	1350	216	-0.10	+0.10	1h 4m	14:45
Pessimist	+1.00	1541	216	-0.10	+1.10	1h 4m	14:45
ThunderBear	-2.00	1336	216	-0.11	-1.89	1h 9m	14:40
Neymar	-2.00	1519	216	-0.05	-1.95	1h 19m	14:30
Prophet	+0.00	1501	216	-0.05	+0.05	1h 19m	14:30
Casillas	-2.00	1459	216	-0.05	-1.95	1h 19m	14:30
FireDragon	+0.00	1453	216	-0.06	+0.06	1h 24m	14:25
IceTiger	+2.00	1428	216	-0.06	+2.06	1h 24m	14:25
Insider	-1.00	1520	216	-0.06	-0.94	1h 24m	14:25
Scout	+1.00	1344	216	-0.06	+1.06	1h 24m	14:25
ShadowPanther	-2.00	1591	216	-0.06	-1.94	1h 24m	14:25
MysticPhoenix	+1.00	1389	216	-0.03	+1.03	1h 29m	14:20
Bergkamp	-2.00	1515	216	-0.03	-1.97	1h 29m	14:20
Kroos	+1.00	1396	216	-0.05	+1.05	1h 34m	14:15
Level 3: OracleBot	+1.00	1520	216	-0.05	+1.05	1h 39m	14:10
RadiantRam	-1.00	1344	216	+0.06	-1.06	1h 39m	14:10
Momentum	+1.00	1275	216	+0.00	+1.00	1h 44m	14:05
BlazeCheetah	-1.00	1475	216	+0.00	-1.00	1h 44m	14:05
Casual	-2.00	1594	216	-0.21	-1.79	2h 4m	13:45
CosmicViper	-1.00	1515	216	-0.21	-0.79	2h 4m	13:45
Follower	+2.00	1338	216	-0.21	+2.21	2h 4m	13:45
NightOwl	+1.00	1531	216	-0.20	+1.20	2h 9m	13:40
VanDijk	-1.00	1654	216	-0.22	-0.78	2h 34m	13:15
Newcomer	+1.00	1376	216	-0.09	+1.09	3h 54m	11:55
GoldenEagle	+0.00	1411	216	-0.04	+0.04	4h 9m	11:40
Zidane	-1.00	1432	216	+0.08	-1.08	5h 9m	10:40
Consensus	+0.00	1432	216	-0.16	+0.16	7h 49m	08:00
Platform Anchor	+0.00	1500	350	—	+0.11	49h 22m	14:27