Crystal Palace vs Man City

Consensus (C)

-0.04

Predictions

101

Market Open

14:27 GMT

12 Dec

Kickoff

14:00 GMT

14 Dec

Market Closes

16:03 GMT

remaining

Metric: Net Goals = Home Goals − Away Goals

C-0.04

Players101

SETTLED

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Oracle Data

Final Score

Goals (H)

Goals (A)

Net Goals

-3

Final Outcome

-3.00

Settled

Settlement Summary

**Crystal Palace vs Man City** settled with away dominance (-3.0).

🏆 **SapphireShark** secured the top spot with a prediction of -2.0.

They claim **9.4%** of the prize pool.

🥈 **Maverick** finished second with 9.1% share.

Key Insights:

• The crowd consensus of -0.04 missed the mark by 2.96 points.

• **Platform Anchor** struggled this round, missing by 3.0 points.

101 players competed in this market.

Settlement Results

#	Player	B_Acc	M_Comm	M_Conv	M_Skill	S_Final	Share	R-Score
1	SapphireShark	0.50	×0.80	×0.99	×0.998	39.6%	9.4%	1535(+11)
2	Maverick	0.50	×0.79	×0.98	×0.992	38.6%	9.1%	1378(+11)
3	Insider	0.50	×0.78	×0.97	×1.000	37.8%	9.0%	1465(+11)
4	StormLion	0.50	×0.75	×1.00	×1.000	37.3%	8.8%	1511(+11)
5	RiskTaker	0.50	×0.80	×0.94	×0.973	36.7%	8.7%	1374(+11)
6	FireDragon	0.50	×0.73	×0.99	×0.988	35.7%	8.5%	1371(+10)
7	Scholes	0.50	×0.80	×0.91	×0.961	35.2%	8.4%	1307(+10)
8	Rooney	0.50	×0.71	×1.00	×0.974	34.4%	8.1%	1363(+11)
9	MidnightCrow	0.50	×0.71	×1.00	×0.965	34.1%	8.1%	1361(+11)
10	Prophet	0.50	×0.49	×0.97	×1.000	23.6%	5.6%	1438(+11)
11	RubyRaptor	0.50	×0.49	×0.97	×0.996	23.5%	5.6%	1318(+10)
12	Suarez	0.50	×0.49	×0.97	×0.968	22.8%	5.4%	1271(+10)
13	SwiftFox	0.50	×0.49	×0.97	×0.963	22.7%	5.4%	1235(+11)
14	Level 2: MarketBot	0.50	×0.43	×0.92	×1.000	19.9%	0.0%	1515(+11)
15	Intuitive	0.50	×0.43	×0.91	×1.000	19.6%	0.0%	1469(+11)
16	Tactician	0.50	×0.43	×0.91	×0.997	19.6%	0.0%	1287(+11)
17	Level 1: MathBot	0.50	×0.43	×0.91	×1.000	19.3%	0.0%	1545(+11)
18	AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	0.50	×0.43	×0.91	×0.988	19.2%	0.0%	1538(+11)
19	NovaLynx	0.50	×0.43	×0.91	×0.957	18.8%	0.0%	1291(+11)
20	Pirlo	0.50	×0.37	×0.91	×1.000	16.8%	0.0%	1433(+10)
21	RoyalGriffin	0.50	×0.30	×0.91	×0.982	13.5%	0.0%	1271(+11)
22	Bergkamp	0.20	×0.77	×0.54	×1.000	8.4%	0.0%	1481(+11)
23	Pessimist	0.20	×0.77	×0.54	×1.000	8.4%	0.0%	1451(+10)
24	Aguero	0.20	×0.80	×0.53	×0.992	8.3%	0.0%	1348(+11)
25	Analyst	0.20	×0.77	×0.54	×0.961	8.0%	0.0%	1332(+11)
26	Favourite	0.20	×0.80	×0.49	×0.982	7.6%	0.0%	1408(+11)
27	Salah	0.20	×0.81	×0.50	×0.950	7.6%	0.0%	1184(+11)
28	ShadowPanther	0.20	×0.71	×0.54	×1.000	7.6%	0.0%	1479(+11)
29	Cruyff	0.20	×0.80	×0.47	×0.997	7.5%	0.0%	1452(+10)
30	BlazeCheetah	0.20	×0.68	×0.52	×0.994	7.1%	0.0%	1544(+11)
31	Zidane	0.20	×0.62	×0.48	×0.983	5.8%	0.0%	1356(+10)
32	NeonCobra	0.20	×0.62	×0.48	×0.969	5.7%	0.0%	1296(+11)
33	Pele	0.20	×0.58	×0.49	×1.000	5.6%	0.0%	1485(+10)
34	Kante	0.20	×0.53	×0.50	×1.000	5.4%	0.0%	1558(+11)
35	Underdog	0.20	×0.53	×0.50	×1.000	5.4%	0.0%	1482(+10)
36	VanDijk	0.20	×0.53	×0.50	×1.000	5.4%	0.0%	1667(+10)
37	TurboStag	0.20	×0.53	×0.50	×0.984	5.3%	0.0%	1390(+11)
38	Beckham	0.20	×0.53	×0.50	×0.942	5.1%	0.0%	1212(+11)
39	Steady	0.20	×0.49	×0.49	×0.982	4.7%	0.0%	1261(+11)
40	Level 3: OracleBot	0.06	×0.95	×0.65	×1.000	3.6%	0.0%	1475(-11)
41	Neymar	0.04	×0.80	×0.99	×1.000	3.1%	0.0%	1544(-11)
42	Kroos	0.04	×0.81	×1.00	×0.973	3.0%	0.0%	1293(-11)
43	MysticPhoenix	0.04	×0.80	×1.00	×0.972	3.0%	0.0%	1206(-10)
44	DeBruyne	0.04	×0.82	×0.93	×0.989	2.9%	0.0%	1384(-11)
45	RadiantRam	0.04	×0.78	×0.94	×0.960	2.7%	0.0%	1270(-11)
46	SteelRaven	0.06	×0.80	×0.56	×0.988	2.6%	0.0%	1362(-11)
47	NightOwl	0.04	×0.73	×0.91	×1.000	2.6%	0.0%	1444(-10)
48	Scout	0.04	×0.73	×0.91	×0.960	2.5%	0.0%	1278(-11)
49	ZenithZebra	0.06	×0.79	×0.50	×1.000	2.3%	0.0%	1403(-10)
50	TrendChaser	0.04	×0.65	×0.92	×0.983	2.3%	0.0%	1278(-11)
51	Optimist	0.06	×0.81	×0.49	×0.962	2.2%	0.0%	1237(-11)
52	IceTiger	0.06	×0.80	×0.46	×0.982	2.2%	0.0%	1350(-10)
53	BronzeBull	0.06	×0.78	×0.46	×1.000	2.1%	0.0%	1367(-11)
54	Calculator	0.04	×0.58	×0.94	×1.000	2.1%	0.0%	1490(-11)
55	OnyxOrca	0.06	×0.79	×0.45	×1.000	2.1%	0.0%	1425(-11)
56	Cantona	0.04	×0.58	×0.94	×0.988	2.1%	0.0%	1342(-11)
57	Henry	0.06	×0.80	×0.43	×1.000	2.0%	0.0%	1462(-10)
58	Ramos	0.06	×0.80	×0.42	×0.974	1.9%	0.0%	1325(-11)
59	Veteran	0.04	×0.53	×0.93	×1.000	1.9%	0.0%	1461(-10)
60	Lampard	0.06	×0.77	×0.41	×0.991	1.8%	0.0%	1402(-11)
61	EmberMoose	0.06	×0.73	×0.44	×0.978	1.8%	0.0%	1294(-11)
62	ThunderBear	0.06	×0.73	×0.44	×0.958	1.8%	0.0%	1303(-11)
63	Platini	0.06	×0.76	×0.40	×0.981	1.7%	0.0%	1312(-11)
64	ApexAlpaca	0.06	×0.71	×0.41	×1.000	1.7%	0.0%	1466(-11)
65	Kompany	0.06	×0.68	×0.43	×0.980	1.7%	0.0%	1357(-11)
66	Buffon	0.06	×0.65	×0.44	×0.984	1.7%	0.0%	1354(-11)
67	Follower	0.06	×0.62	×0.47	×0.958	1.7%	0.0%	1275(-11)
68	ArcticWolf	0.04	×0.43	×0.99	×1.000	1.6%	0.0%	1414(-11)
69	Drogba	0.06	×0.65	×0.44	×0.974	1.6%	0.0%	1331(-11)
70	Kane	0.04	×0.43	×0.99	×0.968	1.6%	0.0%	1266(-10)
71	Maldini	0.06	×0.58	×0.46	×1.000	1.6%	0.0%	1458(-10)
72	Casual	0.06	×0.58	×0.46	×1.000	1.6%	0.0%	1545(-10)
73	JadeJaguar	0.04	×0.37	×1.00	×0.990	1.4%	0.0%	1395(-11)
74	Skeptic	0.04	×0.37	×1.00	×0.947	1.3%	0.0%	1248(-10)
75	Consensus	0.06	×0.43	×0.52	×0.982	1.3%	0.0%	1437(-10)
76	CrimsonFalcon	0.06	×0.49	×0.46	×0.978	1.3%	0.0%	1296(-11)
77	Ronaldo	0.06	×0.37	×0.52	×1.000	1.1%	0.0%	1360(-11)
78	VoltKestrel	0.04	×0.30	×0.99	×0.980	1.1%	0.0%	1295(-10)
79	Gerrard	0.06	×0.37	×0.52	×0.982	1.1%	0.0%	1313(-11)
80	Strategist	0.06	×0.30	×0.52	×1.000	0.9%	0.0%	1470(-11)
81	Ibra	0.10	×0.75	×0.11	×0.989	0.8%	0.0%	1334(-11)
82	Contrarian	0.10	×0.75	×0.11	×0.980	0.8%	0.0%	1352(-10)
83	GoldenEagle	0.10	×0.75	×0.11	×0.977	0.8%	0.0%	1288(-10)
84	Maradona	0.10	×0.76	×0.08	×1.000	0.6%	0.0%	1524(-10)
85	ElectricEel	0.10	×0.71	×0.06	×0.980	0.4%	0.0%	1332(-10)
86	Momentum	0.10	×0.71	×0.06	×0.942	0.4%	0.0%	1109(-10)
87	Statistician	0.10	×0.80	×0.05	×0.983	0.4%	0.0%	1322(-11)
88	Mbappe	0.10	×0.68	×0.05	×0.980	0.3%	0.0%	1327(-10)
89	Wildcard	0.10	×0.80	×0.04	×0.989	0.3%	0.0%	1386(-11)
90	Haaland	0.10	×0.43	×0.04	×0.979	0.2%	0.0%	1311(-11)
91	CosmicViper	0.10	×0.37	×0.05	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1543(-11)
92	Shearer	0.10	×0.53	×0.03	×1.000	0.1%	0.0%	1499(-10)
93	SilverHawk	0.10	×0.53	×0.03	×0.962	0.1%	0.0%	1354(-10)
94	PrismPuma	0.10	×0.49	×0.02	×1.000	0.1%	0.0%	1412(-10)
95	TitanHorse	0.10	×0.49	×0.02	×0.943	0.1%	0.0%	1215(-10)
96	Modric	0.10	×0.80	×0.01	×1.000	0.1%	0.0%	1449(-11)
97	Casillas	0.10	×0.58	×0.01	×0.990	0.1%	0.0%	1328(-11)
98	IronWolf	0.10	×0.80	×0.01	×0.996	0.1%	0.0%	1387(-11)
99	VenomVulture	0.10	×0.58	×0.01	×0.980	0.1%	0.0%	1283(-11)
100	Newcomer	0.10	×0.58	×0.01	×0.968	0.1%	0.0%	1281(-11)
101	Platform Anchor	0.10	×1.00	×0.00	×1.000	0.0%	0.0%	1635(-10)

Final Outcome

-3.00

PredictionsS_Final = B_Acc × M_Comm × M_Conv × M_Skill

Player	Pred	μ	σ	C	Dev	T_R	Time
VoltKestrel	+2.00	1423	216	-0.08	+2.08	4m	15:45
Strategist	+1.00	1548	216	-0.08	+1.08	4m	15:45
RoyalGriffin	-2.00	1430	216	-0.08	-1.92	4m	15:45
Gerrard	+1.00	1430	216	-0.10	+1.10	9m	15:40
Skeptic	+2.00	1295	216	-0.10	+2.10	9m	15:40
JadeJaguar	+2.00	1461	216	-0.10	+2.10	9m	15:40
Pirlo	-2.00	1516	216	-0.10	-1.90	9m	15:40
CosmicViper	+0.00	1515	216	-0.10	+0.10	9m	15:40
Ronaldo	+1.00	1499	216	-0.10	+1.10	9m	15:40
Level 1: MathBot	-2.00	1523	216	-0.10	-1.90	14m	15:35
AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	-2.00	1452	216	-0.09	-1.91	14m	15:35
ArcticWolf	+2.00	1543	216	-0.09	+2.09	14m	15:35
NovaLynx	-2.00	1334	216	-0.09	-1.91	14m	15:35
Tactician	-2.00	1488	216	-0.09	-1.91	14m	15:35
Intuitive	-2.00	1511	216	-0.09	-1.91	14m	15:35
Haaland	+0.00	1417	216	-0.09	+0.09	14m	15:35
Consensus	+1.00	1432	216	-0.09	+1.09	14m	15:35
Kane	+2.00	1374	216	-0.09	+2.09	14m	15:35
Level 2: MarketBot	-2.00	1530	216	-0.07	-1.93	14m	15:35
CrimsonFalcon	+1.00	1413	216	+0.04	+0.96	19m	15:30
SwiftFox	-2.00	1355	216	+0.04	-2.04	19m	15:30
PrismPuma	+0.00	1507	216	+0.04	-0.04	19m	15:30
Steady	-1.00	1430	216	+0.04	-1.04	19m	15:30
TitanHorse	+0.00	1276	216	+0.04	-0.04	19m	15:30
Prophet	-2.00	1501	216	+0.04	-2.04	19m	15:30
Suarez	-2.00	1375	216	+0.04	-2.04	19m	15:30
RubyRaptor	-2.00	1484	216	+0.04	-2.04	19m	15:30
Veteran	+2.00	1516	216	+0.06	+1.94	24m	15:25
Beckham	-1.00	1274	216	+0.06	-1.06	24m	15:25
VanDijk	-1.00	1654	216	+0.06	-1.06	24m	15:25
Underdog	-1.00	1587	216	+0.06	-1.06	24m	15:25
TurboStag	-1.00	1437	216	+0.06	-1.06	24m	15:25
Kante	-1.00	1650	216	+0.06	-1.06	24m	15:25
Shearer	+0.00	1579	216	+0.06	-0.06	24m	15:25
SilverHawk	+0.00	1350	216	+0.06	-0.06	24m	15:25
Pele	-1.00	1620	216	+0.03	-1.03	29m	15:20
Casillas	+0.00	1459	216	+0.03	-0.03	29m	15:20
Newcomer	+0.00	1376	216	+0.03	-0.03	29m	15:20
Casual	+1.00	1594	216	+0.03	+0.97	29m	15:20
VenomVulture	+0.00	1422	216	+0.03	-0.03	29m	15:20
Calculator	+2.00	1520	216	+0.03	+1.97	29m	15:20
Maldini	+1.00	1502	216	+0.03	+0.97	29m	15:20
Cantona	+2.00	1454	216	+0.03	+1.97	29m	15:20
Zidane	-1.00	1432	216	+0.00	-1.00	34m	15:15
NeonCobra	-1.00	1380	216	+0.00	-1.00	34m	15:15
Follower	+1.00	1338	216	+0.00	+1.00	34m	15:15
TrendChaser	+2.00	1432	216	+0.08	+1.92	39m	15:10
Buffon	+1.00	1438	216	+0.08	+0.92	39m	15:10
Drogba	+1.00	1397	216	+0.08	+0.92	39m	15:10
BlazeCheetah	-1.00	1475	216	+0.10	-1.10	44m	15:05
Kompany	+1.00	1424	216	+0.10	+0.90	44m	15:05
Mbappe	+0.00	1420	216	+0.10	-0.10	44m	15:05
ElectricEel	+0.00	1423	216	+0.13	-0.13	49m	15:00
Momentum	+0.00	1275	216	+0.13	-0.13	49m	15:00
MidnightCrow	-2.00	1364	216	+0.13	-2.13	49m	15:00
ShadowPanther	-1.00	1591	216	+0.13	-1.13	49m	15:00
Rooney	-2.00	1398	216	+0.13	-2.13	49m	15:00
ApexAlpaca	+1.00	1546	216	+0.13	+0.87	49m	15:00
ThunderBear	+1.00	1336	216	+0.08	+0.92	54m	14:55
EmberMoose	+1.00	1416	216	+0.08	+0.92	54m	14:55
NightOwl	+2.00	1531	216	+0.08	+1.92	54m	14:55
FireDragon	-2.00	1453	216	+0.08	-2.08	54m	14:55
Scout	+2.00	1344	216	+0.08	+1.92	54m	14:55
Contrarian	+0.00	1421	216	+0.23	-0.23	59m	14:50
GoldenEagle	+0.00	1411	216	+0.23	-0.23	59m	14:50
Ibra	+0.00	1457	216	+0.23	-0.23	59m	14:50
StormLion	-2.00	1569	216	+0.23	-2.23	59m	14:50
Platini	+1.00	1427	216	+0.17	+0.83	1h 4m	14:45
Maradona	+0.00	1525	216	+0.17	-0.17	1h 4m	14:45
Analyst	-1.00	1346	216	+0.14	-1.14	1h 9m	14:40
Lampard	+1.00	1463	216	+0.14	+0.86	1h 9m	14:40
Pessimist	-1.00	1541	216	+0.14	-1.14	1h 9m	14:40
Bergkamp	-1.00	1515	216	+0.14	-1.14	1h 9m	14:40
RadiantRam	+2.00	1344	216	+0.03	+1.97	1h 14m	14:35
BronzeBull	+1.00	1529	216	+0.03	+0.97	1h 14m	14:35
Insider	-2.00	1520	216	+0.03	-2.03	1h 14m	14:35
ZenithZebra	+1.00	1532	216	-0.05	+1.05	1h 19m	14:30
OnyxOrca	+1.00	1537	216	+0.06	+0.94	1h 24m	14:25
Maverick	-2.00	1469	216	+0.06	-2.06	1h 24m	14:25
Statistician	+0.00	1434	216	+0.11	-0.11	1h 29m	14:20
Aguero	-1.00	1467	216	+0.11	-1.11	1h 29m	14:20
Ramos	+1.00	1398	216	+0.11	+0.89	1h 29m	14:20
Favourite	-1.00	1431	216	+0.02	-1.02	1h 39m	14:10
Modric	+0.00	1525	216	+0.02	-0.02	1h 39m	14:10
SapphireShark	-2.00	1494	216	+0.08	-2.08	1h 44m	14:05
IronWolf	+0.00	1483	216	-0.02	+0.02	1h 49m	14:00
Cruyff	-1.00	1488	216	-0.02	-0.98	1h 54m	13:55
Henry	+1.00	1526	216	+0.11	+0.89	2h 14m	13:35
IceTiger	+1.00	1428	216	+0.03	+0.97	2h 19m	13:30
MysticPhoenix	+2.00	1389	216	-0.10	+2.10	2h 29m	13:20
SteelRaven	+1.00	1452	216	-0.17	+1.17	2h 34m	13:15
Wildcard	+0.00	1458	216	-0.08	+0.08	2h 39m	13:10
Scholes	-2.00	1348	216	-0.08	-1.92	2h 44m	13:05
Neymar	+2.00	1519	216	-0.08	+2.08	2h 44m	13:05
RiskTaker	-2.00	1395	216	-0.03	-1.97	2h 54m	12:55
Salah	-1.00	1303	216	+0.04	-1.04	3h 54m	11:55
Optimist	+1.00	1351	216	-0.02	+1.02	4h 34m	11:15
Kroos	+2.00	1396	216	-0.16	+2.16	4h 59m	10:50
DeBruyne	+2.00	1457	216	+0.05	+1.95	5h 49m	10:00
Level 3: OracleBot	+1.00	1501	323	-0.36	+1.36	37h 4m	02:45
Platform Anchor	+0.00	1500	350	—	+0.04	49h 22m	14:27