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SETTLED

Freiburg vs Dortmund

Consensus (C)
-0.02
Predictions
101
Market Open
20:00 GMT
12 Dec
Kickoff
14:30 GMT
14 Dec
Market Closes
16:31 GMT
remaining
Metric: Net Goals = Home Goals − Away Goals
C-0.02
Players101
SETTLED
Loading chart...
Oracle Data
+0
Final Outcome
+0.00
Settled
Settlement Summary

**Freiburg vs Dortmund** settled with a perfectly balanced match (0.0).

🏆 **Level 1: MathBot** secured the top spot with a prediction of -1.0.

They claim **20.4%** of the prize pool.

🥈 **Contrarian** finished second with 13.9% share.

Key Insights:

• The crowd wisdom (C = -0.02) was actually closer to the truth than any individual prediction.

• **AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash** struggled this round, missing by 0.0 points.

101 players competed in this market.

Settlement Results
#PlayerBAccMCommMConvMSkillSFinalShareR-Score
1Level 1: MathBot0.50×0.91×0.69×1.00031.7%20.4%1523(-12)
2Contrarian0.50×0.81×0.54×0.98021.5%13.9%1385(-12)
3Kante0.50×0.80×0.53×1.00021.5%13.9%1557(-12)
4ShadowPanther0.50×0.80×0.52×1.00020.7%13.4%1502(-12)
5Strategist0.50×0.80×0.50×1.00020.1%13.0%1504(-12)
6DeBruyne0.50×0.80×0.50×0.98919.9%12.8%1419(-12)
7EmberMoose0.50×0.80×0.50×0.97819.6%12.7%1294(-12)
8Level 2: MarketBot0.50×0.77×0.50×1.00019.4%0.0%1504(-12)
9SteelRaven0.50×0.80×0.49×0.98819.3%0.0%1384(-12)
10ThunderBear0.50×0.80×0.50×0.95819.2%0.0%1337(-12)
11RoyalGriffin0.50×0.80×0.49×0.98219.2%0.0%1318(-12)
12Steady0.50×0.81×0.48×0.98218.9%0.0%1307(-12)
13Skeptic0.50×0.81×0.49×0.94718.6%0.0%1280(-12)
14Mbappe0.50×0.79×0.47×0.98018.2%0.0%1381(-12)
15Platini0.50×0.80×0.46×0.98118.1%0.0%1334(-12)
16Prophet0.50×0.74×0.49×1.00018.1%0.0%1461(-12)
17IronWolf0.50×0.74×0.49×0.99618.0%0.0%1444(-12)
18Casillas0.50×0.74×0.49×0.99017.9%0.0%1362(-12)
19TrendChaser0.50×0.74×0.48×0.98317.3%0.0%1335(-12)
20GoldenEagle0.50×0.77×0.46×0.97717.2%0.0%1322(-12)
21Intuitive0.50×0.72×0.47×1.00017.1%0.0%1446(-12)
22Casual0.50×0.67×0.51×1.00017.1%0.0%1555(-12)
23Pirlo0.50×0.67×0.51×1.00017.1%0.0%1477(-12)
24BronzeBull0.50×0.67×0.51×1.00017.1%0.0%1434(-12)
25Maldini0.50×0.70×0.46×1.00015.9%0.0%1493(-12)
26Ronaldo0.20×0.79×1.00×1.00015.8%0.0%1427(-12)
27Shearer0.20×0.81×0.97×1.00015.6%0.0%1509(-12)
28RiskTaker0.20×0.80×1.00×0.97315.6%0.0%1386(-12)
29StormLion0.20×0.81×0.96×1.00015.5%0.0%1512(-12)
30Level 3: OracleBot0.20×0.81×0.96×1.00015.5%0.0%1521(-12)
31Optimist0.20×0.80×1.00×0.96215.4%0.0%1258(-12)
32VoltKestrel0.50×0.80×0.39×0.98015.4%0.0%1325(-12)
33Wildcard0.20×0.80×0.97×0.98915.3%0.0%1363(-12)
34Cantona0.20×0.80×0.97×0.98815.3%0.0%1388(-12)
35NightOwl0.20×0.79×0.97×1.00015.3%0.0%1410(-12)
36SapphireShark0.20×0.79×0.97×0.99815.3%0.0%1512(-12)
37Henry0.50×0.67×0.45×1.00015.3%0.0%1518(-12)
38Buffon0.20×0.80×0.96×0.98415.1%0.0%1377(-12)
39Scholes0.50×0.67×0.45×0.96114.7%0.0%1308(-12)
40Tactician0.50×0.60×0.49×0.99714.6%0.0%1310(-12)
41Salah0.50×0.67×0.45×0.95014.5%0.0%1184(-12)
42RadiantRam0.20×0.79×0.95×0.96014.4%0.0%1303(-12)
43SwiftFox0.20×0.78×0.96×0.96314.4%0.0%1258(-12)
44Insider0.20×0.74×0.96×1.00014.2%0.0%1488(-12)
45Pele0.50×0.57×0.50×1.00014.2%0.0%1497(-12)
46OnyxOrca0.50×0.57×0.50×1.00014.1%0.0%1469(-12)
47Kroos0.50×0.60×0.48×0.97314.1%0.0%1361(-12)
48ArcticWolf0.20×0.80×0.87×1.00014.0%0.0%1448(-12)
49Kane0.50×0.57×0.50×0.96813.7%0.0%1308(-12)
50Maradona0.20×0.64×1.00×1.00012.7%0.0%1523(-12)
51VenomVulture0.20×0.64×1.00×0.98012.5%0.0%1327(-12)
52TitanHorse0.50×0.52×0.51×0.94312.4%0.0%1211(-12)
53IceTiger0.20×0.67×0.94×0.98212.3%0.0%1383(-12)
54RubyRaptor0.50×0.47×0.52×0.99612.1%0.0%1386(-12)
55Kompany0.20×0.60×0.97×0.98011.5%0.0%1356(-12)
56Statistician0.20×0.57×0.98×0.98310.9%0.0%1345(-12)
57NeonCobra0.20×0.57×0.95×0.96910.4%0.0%1296(-12)
58MidnightCrow0.50×0.47×0.45×0.96510.1%0.0%1384(-12)
59Momentum0.20×0.57×0.95×0.94210.1%0.0%1152(-12)
60VanDijk0.20×0.52×0.94×1.0009.8%0.0%1700(-12)
61ElectricEel0.20×0.52×0.94×0.9809.6%0.0%1388(-12)
62Favourite0.50×0.41×0.47×0.9829.5%0.0%1387(-12)
63Aguero0.20×0.47×1.00×0.9929.3%0.0%1370(-12)
64Ramos1.00×0.80×0.12×0.9749.3%0.0%1382(+12)
65Zidane0.20×0.47×1.00×0.9839.2%0.0%1367(-12)
66Consensus0.20×0.47×0.93×0.9828.6%0.0%1469(-12)
67Newcomer0.20×0.47×0.93×0.9688.4%0.0%1279(-12)
68Modric0.50×0.35×0.45×1.0007.9%0.0%1461(-12)
69Haaland0.20×0.41×0.97×0.9797.8%0.0%1355(-12)
70Gerrard0.20×0.41×0.96×0.9827.7%0.0%1358(-12)
71PrismPuma0.20×0.35×0.99×1.0006.9%0.0%1411(-12)
72BlazeCheetah0.20×0.35×0.99×0.9946.8%0.0%1545(-12)
73Maverick0.20×0.35×0.99×0.9926.8%0.0%1402(-12)
74Lampard0.50×0.27×0.49×0.9916.6%0.0%1425(-12)
75SilverHawk0.20×0.35×0.99×0.9626.6%0.0%1341(-12)
76JadeJaguar0.50×0.27×0.48×0.9906.5%0.0%1416(-12)
77TurboStag0.20×0.35×0.94×0.9846.4%0.0%1356(-12)
78Veteran0.20×0.27×0.96×1.0005.3%0.0%1471(-12)
79Drogba0.20×0.27×0.97×0.9745.2%0.0%1331(-12)
80Suarez0.20×0.27×0.97×0.9685.1%0.0%1281(-12)
81MysticPhoenix0.20×0.27×0.96×0.9725.1%0.0%1262(-12)
82NovaLynx1.00×0.80×0.05×0.9574.0%0.0%1293(+12)
83Rooney1.00×0.64×0.03×0.9741.9%0.0%1352(+12)
84CosmicViper1.00×0.77×0.02×1.0001.9%0.0%1553(+12)
85ZenithZebra1.00×0.67×0.03×1.0001.8%0.0%1458(+12)
86Bergkamp1.00×0.80×0.02×1.0001.8%0.0%1528(+12)
87Scout1.00×0.80×0.02×0.9601.2%0.0%1299(+12)
88Pessimist1.00×0.52×0.02×1.0001.2%0.0%1473(+12)
89Calculator1.00×0.52×0.02×1.0001.2%0.0%1535(+12)
90Cruyff1.00×0.52×0.02×0.9971.2%0.0%1442(+12)
91Analyst1.00×0.52×0.02×0.9611.1%0.0%1332(+12)
92ApexAlpaca1.00×0.35×0.03×1.0001.0%0.0%1500(+12)
93Neymar1.00×0.79×0.01×1.0000.8%0.0%1543(+12)
94FireDragon1.00×0.79×0.01×0.9880.8%0.0%1405(+12)
95Beckham1.00×0.79×0.01×0.9420.7%0.0%1191(+12)
96Underdog1.00×0.76×0.01×1.0000.7%0.0%1516(+12)
97CrimsonFalcon1.00×0.76×0.01×0.9780.6%0.0%1319(+12)
98Ibra1.00×0.41×0.01×0.9890.3%0.0%1391(+12)
99Follower1.00×0.80×0.00×0.9580.3%0.0%1321(+12)
100AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash1.00×0.34×0.00×0.9880.0%0.0%1493(+12)
101Platform Anchor1.00×1.00×0.00×1.0000.0%0.0%1633(+12)
Final Outcome
+0.00
PredictionsSFinal = BAcc × MComm × MConv × MSkill
PlayerPredμσCDevTRTime
Lampard+1.001463216-0.01+1.014m16:15
JadeJaguar-1.001461216-0.01-0.994m16:15
Drogba+2.001397216-0.01+2.014m16:15
MysticPhoenix-2.001389216-0.01-1.994m16:15
Veteran-2.001516216-0.01-1.994m16:15
Suarez+2.001375216-0.01+2.014m16:15
AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash+0.001452216+0.00+0.009m16:10
Maverick+2.001469216-0.06+2.069m16:10
ApexAlpaca+0.001546216-0.06+0.069m16:10
SilverHawk+2.001350216-0.06+2.069m16:10
PrismPuma+2.001507216-0.06+2.069m16:10
BlazeCheetah+2.001475216-0.06+2.069m16:10
TurboStag-2.001437216-0.06-1.949m16:10
Modric-1.001525216-0.06-0.949m16:10
Ibra+0.001457216-0.02+0.0214m16:05
Haaland+2.001417216-0.02+2.0214m16:05
Gerrard-2.001430216-0.02-1.9814m16:05
Favourite-1.001431216-0.02-0.9814m16:05
Newcomer-2.001376216-0.07-1.9319m16:00
Zidane+2.001432216-0.07+2.0719m16:00
Aguero+2.001467216-0.07+2.0719m16:00
MidnightCrow-1.001364216-0.07-0.9319m16:00
Consensus-2.001432216-0.07-1.9319m16:00
RubyRaptor+1.001484216-0.07+1.0719m16:00
Calculator+0.001520216-0.05+0.0524m15:55
ElectricEel-2.001423216-0.05-1.9524m15:55
Cruyff+0.001488216-0.05+0.0524m15:55
TitanHorse+1.001276216-0.05+1.0524m15:55
Pessimist+0.001541216-0.05+0.0524m15:55
Analyst+0.001346216-0.05+0.0524m15:55
VanDijk-2.001654216-0.05-1.9524m15:55
OnyxOrca-1.001537216+0.04-1.0429m15:50
Pele-1.001620216+0.04-1.0429m15:50
Statistician-2.001434216+0.04-2.0429m15:50
Kane-1.001374216+0.04-1.0429m15:50
NeonCobra+2.001380216+0.04+1.9629m15:50
Momentum+2.001275216+0.04+1.9629m15:50
Kroos+1.001396216+0.01+0.9933m15:46
Kompany-2.001424216+0.01-2.0133m15:46
Tactician-1.001488216+0.01-1.0133m15:46
VenomVulture-2.001422216+0.06-2.0638m15:41
Maradona-2.001525216+0.06-2.0638m15:41
Rooney+0.001398216+0.06-0.0638m15:41
BronzeBull-1.001529216+0.06-1.0643m15:36
IceTiger+2.001428216+0.06+1.9443m15:36
Salah+1.001303216+0.06+0.9443m15:36
Scholes+1.001348216+0.06+0.9443m15:36
Henry+1.001526216+0.06+0.9443m15:36
ZenithZebra+0.001532216+0.06-0.0643m15:36
Pirlo-1.001516216+0.06-1.0643m15:36
Casual-1.001594216+0.06-1.0643m15:36
Maldini+1.001502216+0.06+0.9448m15:31
Intuitive+1.001511216+0.02+0.9853m15:26
IronWolf-1.001483216+0.01-1.0158m15:21
Insider+2.001520216+0.01+1.9958m15:21
TrendChaser+1.001432216+0.01+0.9958m15:21
Casillas-1.001459216+0.01-1.0158m15:21
Prophet-1.001501216+0.01-1.0158m15:21
Underdog+0.001587216-0.02+0.021h 3m15:16
CrimsonFalcon+0.001413216-0.02+0.021h 3m15:16
GoldenEagle+1.001411216+0.05+0.951h 8m15:11
CosmicViper+0.001515216+0.05-0.051h 8m15:11
Level 2: MarketBot-1.001530216+0.04-1.041h 9m15:10
SwiftFox-2.001355216-0.01-1.991h 13m15:06
NightOwl-2.001531216+0.02-2.021h 18m15:01
RadiantRam+2.001344216+0.02+1.981h 18m15:01
FireDragon+0.001453216+0.02-0.021h 18m15:01
Beckham+0.001274216+0.02-0.021h 18m15:01
Neymar+0.001519216+0.02-0.021h 18m15:01
Mbappe+1.001420216+0.02+0.981h 18m15:01
SapphireShark-2.001494216+0.02-2.021h 18m15:01
Ronaldo-2.001499216+0.08-2.081h 23m14:56
Cantona+2.001454216-0.02+2.021h 28m14:51
Wildcard+2.001458216-0.02+2.021h 28m14:51
Scout+0.001344216+0.03-0.031h 33m14:46
ThunderBear+1.001336216-0.04+1.041h 38m14:41
EmberMoose+1.001416216-0.04+1.041h 38m14:41
RoyalGriffin+1.001430216-0.01+1.011h 43m14:36
SteelRaven+1.001452216-0.01+1.011h 43m14:36
Follower+0.001338216+0.01-0.011h 48m14:31
DeBruyne+1.001457216-0.04+1.041h 53m14:26
Strategist+1.001548216-0.04+1.041h 53m14:26
Platini-1.001427216-0.04-0.961h 53m14:26
Bergkamp+0.001515216-0.05+0.051h 58m14:21
Buffon-2.001438216-0.02-1.982h 3m14:16
ShadowPanther+1.001591216-0.07+1.072h 8m14:11
Optimist+2.001351216-0.16+2.162h 18m14:01
Kante+1.001650216-0.11+1.112h 28m13:51
NovaLynx+0.001334216-0.11+0.112h 28m13:51
Ramos+0.001398216-0.25+0.252h 33m13:46
ArcticWolf-2.001543216-0.19-1.812h 38m13:41
VoltKestrel-1.001423216-0.19-0.812h 38m13:41
RiskTaker+2.001395216-0.19+2.192h 38m13:41
Shearer-2.001579216+0.02-2.022h 53m13:26
Level 3: OracleBot-2.001520216-0.01-1.992h 59m13:20
Contrarian-1.001421216+0.13-1.133h 3m13:16
Skeptic+1.001295216-0.01+1.013h 13m13:06
Steady-1.001430216-0.01-0.993h 13m13:06
StormLion+2.001569216+0.01+1.993h 38m12:41
Level 1: MathBot-1.001499323+0.44-1.4425h 34m14:45
Platform Anchor+0.001500350—+0.0244h 19m20:00