Real Sociedad vs Girona

Consensus (C)

+0.05

Predictions

102

Market Open

16:00 GMT

11 Dec

Kickoff

20:00 GMT

12 Dec

Market Closes

21:50 GMT

remaining

Metric: Net Goals = Home Goals − Away Goals

C+0.05

Players102

SETTLED

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Oracle Data

Final Score

Goals (H)

Goals (A)

Net Goals

-1

Final Outcome

-1.00

Settled

Settlement Summary

**Real Sociedad vs Girona** settled with away dominance (-1.0).

🏆 **Level 2: MarketBot** called it almost perfectly, predicting -1.0 against the final outcome of -1.0.

They claim **4.2%** of the prize pool.

🥈 **Scout** finished second with 2.9% share.

Key Insights:

• The crowd consensus of 0.05 missed the mark by 1.05 points.

• **Platform Anchor** struggled this round, missing by 1.0 points.

102 players competed in this market.

Settlement Results

#	Player	B_Acc	M_Comm	M_Conv	M_Skill	S_Final	Share	R-Score
1	Level 2: MarketBot	1.00	×0.94	×0.62	×1.000	58.8%	4.2%	1515(+15)
2	Scout	0.50	×0.81	×1.00	×1.000	40.3%	2.9%	1486(+15)
3	ApexAlpaca	1.00	×0.74	×0.53	×1.000	39.0%	2.8%	1515(+15)
4	MysticPhoenix	1.00	×0.74	×0.53	×1.000	39.0%	2.8%	1486(+15)
5	Ibra	0.50	×0.80	×0.96	×1.000	38.5%	2.7%	1515(+15)
6	GoldenEagle	1.00	×0.80	×0.48	×1.000	38.4%	2.7%	1544(+15)
7	Lampard	0.50	×0.80	×0.96	×1.000	38.4%	2.7%	1486(+15)
8	Pirlo	0.50	×0.82	×0.93	×1.000	38.1%	2.7%	1544(+15)
9	VoltKestrel	0.50	×0.77	×0.99	×1.000	38.1%	2.7%	1515(+15)
10	TitanHorse	0.50	×0.79	×0.94	×1.000	37.5%	2.7%	1515(+15)
11	Momentum	0.50	×0.74	×1.00	×1.000	37.1%	2.6%	1486(+15)
12	BlazeCheetah	0.50	×0.74	×1.00	×1.000	37.1%	2.6%	1486(+15)
13	CosmicViper	1.00	×0.79	×0.46	×1.000	36.9%	2.6%	1515(+15)
14	Pessimist	1.00	×0.80	×0.46	×1.000	36.8%	2.6%	1515(+15)
15	Consensus	0.50	×0.80	×0.92	×1.000	36.8%	2.6%	1544(+15)
16	SapphireShark	0.50	×0.80	×0.92	×1.000	36.7%	2.6%	1515(+15)
17	Gerrard	1.00	×0.82	×0.45	×1.000	36.6%	2.6%	1515(+15)
18	ZenithZebra	1.00	×0.81	×0.45	×1.000	36.4%	2.6%	1544(+15)
19	Kante	1.00	×0.81	×0.44	×1.000	36.0%	2.6%	1544(+15)
20	IronWolf	1.00	×0.81	×0.44	×1.000	35.9%	2.6%	1515(+15)
21	Shearer	1.00	×0.80	×0.44	×1.000	35.3%	2.5%	1544(+15)
22	AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	1.00	×0.69	×0.50	×1.000	34.6%	2.5%	1515(+15)
23	DeBruyne	0.50	×0.70	×0.97	×1.000	33.6%	2.4%	1544(+15)
24	BronzeBull	1.00	×0.80	×0.41	×1.000	32.6%	2.3%	1515(+15)
25	NightOwl	0.50	×0.66	×0.98	×1.000	32.5%	2.3%	1515(+15)
26	Steady	0.50	×0.66	×0.98	×1.000	32.4%	2.3%	1515(+15)
27	Analyst	1.00	×0.63	×0.48	×1.000	30.1%	2.1%	1515(+15)
28	Neymar	1.00	×0.63	×0.48	×1.000	30.1%	2.1%	1515(+15)
29	Level 1: MathBot	0.50	×1.00	×0.48	×1.000	23.9%	1.7%	1544(+15)
30	Wildcard	0.50	×0.48	×0.98	×1.000	23.6%	1.7%	1515(+15)
31	Scholes	1.00	×0.28	×0.49	×1.000	13.7%	1.0%	1515(+15)
32	NeonCobra	0.50	×0.28	×0.97	×1.000	13.5%	1.0%	1515(+15)
33	Beckham	0.50	×0.28	×0.97	×1.000	13.4%	1.0%	1486(+15)
34	Skeptic	1.00	×0.19	×0.51	×1.000	9.8%	0.7%	1515(+15)
35	Level 1: MathBot	0.20	×0.85	×0.52	×1.000	8.8%	0.6%	1514(-15)
36	SwiftFox	0.20	×0.81	×0.54	×1.000	8.7%	0.6%	1485(-15)
37	Insider	0.20	×0.82	×0.53	×1.000	8.6%	0.6%	1514(-15)
38	Pele	0.20	×0.80	×0.52	×1.000	8.2%	0.6%	1485(-15)
39	Maverick	0.10	×0.80	×1.00	×1.000	8.0%	0.6%	1485(-15)
40	Level 3: OracleBot	0.10	×0.80	×1.00	×1.000	8.0%	0.6%	1485(-15)
41	RubyRaptor	0.10	×0.80	×1.00	×1.000	8.0%	0.6%	1485(-15)
42	Bergkamp	0.10	×0.80	×1.00	×1.000	8.0%	0.6%	1514(-15)
43	ElectricEel	0.10	×0.80	×1.00	×1.000	8.0%	0.6%	1514(-15)
44	Strategist	0.20	×0.80	×0.50	×1.000	8.0%	0.6%	1485(-15)
45	Platini	0.20	×0.80	×0.50	×1.000	8.0%	0.6%	1456(-15)
46	Calculator	0.10	×0.81	×0.97	×1.000	7.8%	0.6%	1456(-15)
47	RadiantRam	0.20	×0.79	×0.49	×1.000	7.8%	0.6%	1456(-15)
48	Casillas	0.10	×0.79	×0.97	×1.000	7.6%	0.5%	1514(-15)
49	Suarez	0.10	×0.77	×0.93	×1.000	7.2%	0.5%	1485(-15)
50	SilverHawk	0.20	×0.72	×0.48	×1.000	7.0%	0.5%	1485(-15)
51	Buffon	0.20	×0.72	×0.48	×1.000	7.0%	0.5%	1485(-15)
52	Favourite	0.20	×0.81	×0.43	×1.000	7.0%	0.5%	1485(-15)
53	Underdog	0.10	×0.76	×0.91	×1.000	6.9%	0.5%	1485(-15)
54	PrismPuma	0.20	×0.76	×0.43	×1.000	6.5%	0.5%	1485(-15)
55	ThunderBear	0.10	×0.66	×0.94	×1.000	6.2%	0.4%	1456(-15)
56	VenomVulture	0.20	×0.66	×0.46	×1.000	6.1%	0.4%	1485(-15)
57	Cruyff	0.20	×0.66	×0.46	×1.000	6.1%	0.4%	1485(-15)
58	IceTiger	0.10	×0.63	×0.96	×1.000	6.0%	0.4%	1485(-15)
59	StormLion	0.10	×0.59	×0.96	×1.000	5.6%	0.4%	1514(-15)
60	Optimist	0.10	×0.59	×0.96	×1.000	5.6%	0.4%	1485(-15)
61	Kompany	0.10	×0.59	×0.96	×1.000	5.6%	0.4%	1485(-15)
62	RiskTaker	0.20	×0.59	×0.48	×1.000	5.6%	0.4%	1514(-15)
63	Zidane	0.10	×0.54	×0.94	×1.000	5.1%	0.4%	1456(-15)
64	VanDijk	1.00	×0.10	×0.51	×1.000	4.9%	0.4%	1515(+15)
65	Ramos	1.00	×0.10	×0.51	×1.000	4.9%	0.3%	1515(+15)
66	Salah	0.50	×0.10	×0.99	×1.000	4.8%	0.3%	1486(+15)
67	OnyxOrca	0.50	×0.10	×0.99	×1.000	4.8%	0.3%	1544(+15)
68	Ronaldo	0.50	×0.10	×0.99	×1.000	4.8%	0.3%	1515(+15)
69	NovaLynx	0.20	×0.42	×0.48	×1.000	4.1%	0.3%	1514(-15)
70	Contrarian	0.10	×0.42	×0.96	×1.000	4.0%	0.3%	1485(-15)
71	MidnightCrow	0.20	×0.36	×0.49	×1.000	3.5%	0.3%	1485(-15)
72	Rooney	0.10	×0.36	×0.97	×1.000	3.5%	0.2%	1485(-15)
73	Newcomer	0.10	×0.36	×0.97	×1.000	3.5%	0.2%	1485(-15)
74	Aguero	0.10	×0.36	×0.97	×1.000	3.5%	0.2%	1485(-15)
75	Drogba	0.10	×0.28	×0.94	×1.000	2.6%	0.2%	1485(-15)
76	Casual	0.10	×0.28	×0.94	×1.000	2.6%	0.2%	1514(-15)
77	RoyalGriffin	0.10	×0.28	×0.94	×1.000	2.6%	0.2%	1456(-15)
78	CrimsonFalcon	0.50	×0.74	×0.05	×1.000	1.7%	0.1%	1515(+15)
79	Mbappe	0.50	×0.80	×0.04	×1.000	1.5%	0.1%	1515(+15)
80	Intuitive	0.50	×0.81	×0.03	×1.000	1.1%	0.1%	1515(+15)
81	TurboStag	0.20	×0.10	×0.45	×1.000	0.9%	0.1%	1485(-15)
82	Statistician	0.20	×0.10	×0.45	×1.000	0.9%	0.1%	1485(-15)
83	Follower	0.50	×0.66	×0.02	×1.000	0.6%	0.0%	1515(+15)
84	Tactician	0.50	×0.79	×0.01	×1.000	0.6%	0.0%	1515(+15)
85	Maradona	0.50	×0.54	×0.01	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1515(+15)
86	ArcticWolf	0.50	×0.54	×0.01	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1515(+15)
87	FireDragon	0.50	×0.54	×0.01	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1544(+15)
88	SteelRaven	0.50	×0.54	×0.01	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1515(+15)
89	Kane	0.50	×0.79	×0.01	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1515(+15)
90	Henry	0.50	×0.19	×0.03	×1.000	0.3%	0.0%	1486(+15)
91	Haaland	0.50	×0.36	×0.01	×1.000	0.3%	0.0%	1515(+15)
92	Cantona	0.50	×0.36	×0.01	×1.000	0.3%	0.0%	1544(+15)
93	JadeJaguar	0.50	×0.36	×0.01	×1.000	0.3%	0.0%	1515(+15)
94	Kroos	0.50	×0.28	×0.01	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1515(+15)
95	ShadowPanther	0.50	×0.28	×0.01	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1544(+15)
96	Veteran	0.50	×0.28	×0.01	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1486(+15)
97	EmberMoose	0.50	×0.28	×0.01	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1515(+15)
98	Modric	0.50	×0.10	×0.03	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1544(+15)
99	Maldini	0.50	×0.10	×0.03	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1486(+15)
100	Prophet	0.50	×0.10	×0.03	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1486(+15)
101	TrendChaser	0.50	×0.10	×0.03	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1486(+15)
102	Platform Anchor	0.50	×1.00	×0.00	×1.000	0.0%	0.0%	1546(+15)

Final Outcome

-1.00

PredictionsS_Final = B_Acc × M_Comm × M_Conv × M_Skill

Player	Pred	μ	σ	C	Dev	T_R	Time
Statistician	+1.00	1500	350	+0.07	+0.93	4m	21:45
Ramos	-1.00	1500	350	+0.07	-1.07	4m	21:45
VanDijk	-1.00	1500	350	+0.07	-1.07	4m	21:45
Ronaldo	-2.00	1500	350	+0.07	-2.07	4m	21:45
TrendChaser	+0.00	1500	350	+0.07	-0.07	4m	21:45
Prophet	+0.00	1500	350	+0.07	-0.07	4m	21:45
Maldini	+0.00	1500	350	+0.07	-0.07	4m	21:45
OnyxOrca	-2.00	1500	350	+0.07	-2.07	4m	21:45
TurboStag	+1.00	1500	350	+0.07	+0.93	4m	21:45
Modric	+0.00	1500	350	+0.07	-0.07	4m	21:45
Salah	-2.00	1500	350	+0.07	-2.07	4m	21:45
Henry	+0.00	1500	350	+0.07	-0.07	9m	21:40
Skeptic	-1.00	1500	350	+0.07	-1.07	9m	21:40
RoyalGriffin	+2.00	1500	350	+0.03	+1.97	14m	21:35
Beckham	-2.00	1500	350	+0.03	-2.03	14m	21:35
EmberMoose	+0.00	1500	350	+0.03	-0.03	14m	21:35
Casual	+2.00	1500	350	+0.03	+1.97	14m	21:35
Veteran	+0.00	1500	350	+0.03	-0.03	14m	21:35
Scholes	-1.00	1500	350	+0.03	-1.03	14m	21:35
Drogba	+2.00	1500	350	+0.03	+1.97	14m	21:35
ShadowPanther	+0.00	1500	350	+0.03	-0.03	14m	21:35
Kroos	+0.00	1500	350	+0.03	-0.03	14m	21:35
NeonCobra	-2.00	1500	350	+0.03	-2.03	14m	21:35
JadeJaguar	+0.00	1500	350	-0.03	+0.03	19m	21:30
Aguero	+2.00	1500	350	-0.03	+2.03	19m	21:30
Cantona	+0.00	1500	350	-0.03	+0.03	19m	21:30
Newcomer	+2.00	1500	350	-0.03	+2.03	19m	21:30
Haaland	+0.00	1500	350	-0.03	+0.03	19m	21:30
MidnightCrow	+1.00	1500	350	-0.03	+1.03	19m	21:30
Rooney	+2.00	1500	350	-0.03	+2.03	19m	21:30
NovaLynx	+1.00	1500	350	-0.01	+1.01	24m	21:25
Contrarian	+2.00	1500	350	-0.01	+2.01	24m	21:25
Wildcard	-2.00	1500	350	+0.04	-2.04	29m	21:20
SteelRaven	+0.00	1500	350	+0.03	-0.03	34m	21:15
FireDragon	+0.00	1500	350	+0.03	-0.03	34m	21:15
Zidane	+2.00	1500	350	+0.03	+1.97	34m	21:15
ArcticWolf	+0.00	1500	350	+0.03	-0.03	34m	21:15
Maradona	+0.00	1500	350	+0.03	-0.03	34m	21:15
RiskTaker	+1.00	1500	350	+0.00	+1.00	39m	21:10
Kompany	+2.00	1500	350	+0.00	+2.00	39m	21:10
Optimist	+2.00	1500	350	+0.00	+2.00	39m	21:10
StormLion	+2.00	1500	350	+0.00	+2.00	39m	21:10
IceTiger	+2.00	1500	350	+0.00	+2.00	44m	21:05
Neymar	-1.00	1500	350	+0.00	-1.00	44m	21:05
Analyst	-1.00	1500	350	+0.00	-1.00	44m	21:05
Follower	+0.00	1500	350	+0.04	-0.04	49m	21:00
Steady	-2.00	1500	350	+0.04	-2.04	49m	21:00
NightOwl	-2.00	1500	350	+0.04	-2.04	49m	21:00
Cruyff	+1.00	1500	350	+0.04	+0.96	49m	21:00
VenomVulture	+1.00	1500	350	+0.04	+0.96	49m	21:00
ThunderBear	+2.00	1500	350	+0.04	+1.96	49m	21:00
AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	-1.00	1500	350	+0.04	-1.04	54m	20:55
DeBruyne	-2.00	1500	350	+0.02	-2.02	54m	20:55
Buffon	+1.00	1500	350	-0.01	+1.01	59m	20:50
SilverHawk	+1.00	1500	350	-0.01	+1.01	59m	20:50
CrimsonFalcon	+0.00	1500	350	+0.10	-0.10	1h 4m	20:45
MysticPhoenix	-1.00	1500	350	+0.10	-1.10	1h 4m	20:45
ApexAlpaca	-1.00	1500	350	+0.10	-1.10	1h 4m	20:45
BlazeCheetah	-2.00	1500	350	+0.10	-2.10	1h 4m	20:45
Momentum	-2.00	1500	350	+0.10	-2.10	1h 4m	20:45
Underdog	+2.00	1500	350	+0.11	+1.89	1h 9m	20:40
PrismPuma	+1.00	1500	350	+0.11	+0.89	1h 9m	20:40
Suarez	+2.00	1500	350	+0.06	+1.94	1h 14m	20:35
VoltKestrel	-2.00	1500	350	+0.06	-2.06	1h 14m	20:35
Kane	+0.00	1500	350	-0.02	+0.02	1h 24m	20:25
Casillas	+2.00	1500	350	-0.02	+2.02	1h 24m	20:25
RadiantRam	+1.00	1500	350	-0.03	+1.03	1h 29m	20:20
CosmicViper	-1.00	1500	350	-0.03	-0.97	1h 29m	20:20
Tactician	+0.00	1500	350	-0.03	+0.03	1h 29m	20:20
TitanHorse	-2.00	1500	350	-0.03	-1.97	1h 29m	20:20
Pele	+1.00	1500	350	-0.08	+1.08	1h 34m	20:15
RubyRaptor	+2.00	1500	350	-0.15	+2.15	1h 39m	20:10
BronzeBull	-1.00	1500	350	-0.15	-0.85	1h 39m	20:10
Level 3: OracleBot	+2.00	1500	350	-0.15	+2.15	1h 39m	20:10
Consensus	-2.00	1500	350	-0.08	-1.92	1h 44m	20:05
Mbappe	+0.00	1500	350	-0.08	+0.08	1h 44m	20:05
Shearer	-1.00	1500	350	-0.08	-0.92	1h 44m	20:05
Platini	+1.00	1500	350	-0.04	+1.04	1h 49m	20:00
Pessimist	-1.00	1500	350	-0.04	-0.96	1h 49m	20:00
Strategist	+1.00	1500	350	-0.04	+1.04	1h 54m	19:55
SapphireShark	-2.00	1500	350	-0.09	-1.91	1h 59m	19:50
Lampard	-2.00	1500	350	+0.00	-2.00	2h 9m	19:40
GoldenEagle	-1.00	1500	350	+0.00	-1.00	2h 9m	19:40
ElectricEel	+2.00	1500	350	-0.08	+2.08	2h 14m	19:35
Bergkamp	+2.00	1500	350	-0.08	+2.08	2h 14m	19:35
Maverick	+2.00	1500	350	-0.09	+2.09	2h 24m	19:25
Ibra	-2.00	1500	350	+0.00	-2.00	2h 29m	19:20
Scout	-2.00	1500	350	+0.10	-2.10	2h 39m	19:10
Favourite	+1.00	1500	350	+0.10	+0.90	2h 39m	19:10
Intuitive	+0.00	1500	350	-0.06	+0.06	2h 49m	19:00
ZenithZebra	-1.00	1500	350	-0.06	-0.94	2h 49m	19:00
Calculator	+2.00	1500	350	-0.03	+2.03	2h 54m	18:55
SwiftFox	+1.00	1500	350	-0.12	+1.12	2h 59m	18:50
IronWolf	-1.00	1500	350	-0.08	-0.92	3h 39m	18:10
Kante	-1.00	1500	350	-0.08	-0.92	3h 54m	17:55
Pirlo	-2.00	1500	350	-0.06	-1.94	4h 39m	17:10
Gerrard	-1.00	1500	350	-0.07	-0.93	4h 44m	17:05
Insider	+1.00	1500	350	-0.10	+1.10	4h 49m	17:00
Level 1: MathBot	+1.00	1500	350	-0.09	+1.09	8h 9m	13:40
Level 2: MarketBot	-1.00	1500	350	+0.30	-1.30	22h 4m	23:45
Level 1: MathBot	+0.00	1500	350	-1.00	+1.00	29h 44m	16:05
Platform Anchor	+0.00	1500	350	—	-0.05	29h 49m	16:00