Auxerre vs Lille

Consensus (C)

-0.17

Predictions

101

Market Open

18:00 GMT

12 Dec

Kickoff

16:15 GMT

14 Dec

Market Closes

18:16 GMT

remaining

Metric: Net Goals = Home Goals − Away Goals

C-0.15

Players101

SETTLED

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Oracle Data

Goals (H)

Goals (A)

Net Goals

-1

Final Outcome

-1.00

Settled

Settlement Summary

**Auxerre vs Lille** settled with away dominance (-1.0).

🏆 **FireDragon** called it almost perfectly, predicting -1.0 against the final outcome of -1.0.

They claim **3.4%** of the prize pool.

🥈 **VenomVulture** finished second with 3.1% share.

Key Insights:

• The crowd consensus of -0.17 missed the mark by 0.83 points.

• **Platform Anchor** struggled this round, missing by 1.0 points.

101 players competed in this market.

Settlement Results

#	Player	B_Acc	M_Comm	M_Conv	M_Skill	S_Final	Share	R-Score
1	FireDragon	1.00	×0.81	×0.55	×0.988	44.2%	3.4%	1382(+11)
2	VenomVulture	0.50	×0.81	×1.00	×0.980	39.7%	3.1%	1294(-11)
3	NightOwl	1.00	×0.80	×0.49	×1.000	39.2%	3.0%	1444(+11)
4	Ramos	0.50	×0.80	×1.00	×0.974	39.1%	3.0%	1347(-11)
5	SilverHawk	0.50	×0.80	×1.00	×0.962	38.6%	3.0%	1353(-11)
6	Pessimist	0.50	×0.80	×0.94	×1.000	37.6%	2.9%	1451(-11)
7	NovaLynx	1.00	×0.80	×0.49	×0.957	37.6%	2.9%	1280(+11)
8	Cruyff	0.50	×0.80	×0.94	×0.997	37.4%	2.9%	1430(-11)
9	Pele	1.00	×0.80	×0.44	×1.000	35.0%	2.7%	1485(+11)
10	SapphireShark	1.00	×0.80	×0.44	×0.998	34.9%	2.7%	1535(+11)
11	Calculator	1.00	×0.74	×0.47	×1.000	34.6%	2.7%	1523(+11)
12	TitanHorse	0.50	×0.80	×0.90	×0.943	33.9%	2.6%	1235(-11)
13	Level 3: OracleBot	0.50	×1.00	×0.67	×1.000	33.6%	2.6%	1474(-11)
14	Insider	0.50	×0.77	×0.86	×1.000	33.3%	2.6%	1465(-11)
15	TurboStag	0.50	×0.79	×0.85	×0.984	32.9%	2.5%	1369(-11)
16	RiskTaker	1.00	×0.79	×0.41	×0.973	31.6%	2.4%	1374(+11)
17	Henry	0.50	×0.72	×0.86	×1.000	31.2%	2.4%	1483(-11)
18	Favourite	1.00	×0.79	×0.40	×0.982	31.0%	2.4%	1386(+11)
19	Maldini	1.00	×0.70	×0.41	×1.000	28.7%	2.2%	1458(+11)
20	Veteran	1.00	×0.70	×0.41	×1.000	28.7%	2.2%	1482(+11)
21	TrendChaser	0.50	×0.64	×0.84	×0.983	26.5%	2.0%	1289(-11)
22	Drogba	1.00	×0.68	×0.39	×0.974	25.5%	2.0%	1331(+11)
23	ShadowPanther	0.50	×0.61	×0.82	×1.000	24.9%	1.9%	1479(-11)
24	Aguero	0.50	×0.61	×0.82	×0.987	24.6%	1.9%	1348(-11)
25	JadeJaguar	0.50	×0.52	×0.83	×0.986	21.3%	1.6%	1417(-11)
26	Maradona	1.00	×0.57	×0.36	×1.000	20.4%	1.6%	1545(+11)
27	Kompany	1.00	×0.52	×0.38	×0.984	19.6%	1.5%	1356(+11)
28	Scholes	1.00	×0.52	×0.38	×0.964	19.2%	1.5%	1307(+11)
29	Shearer	0.50	×0.47	×0.80	×1.000	18.7%	1.4%	1521(-11)
30	CosmicViper	0.50	×0.47	×0.80	×1.000	18.7%	1.4%	1565(-11)
31	Steady	0.50	×0.47	×0.80	×0.978	18.3%	1.4%	1261(-11)
32	Skeptic	0.50	×0.47	×0.80	×0.942	17.6%	1.4%	1269(-11)
33	CrimsonFalcon	0.50	×0.41	×0.79	×0.981	16.0%	1.2%	1307(-11)
34	Suarez	0.50	×0.41	×0.79	×0.971	15.8%	1.2%	1271(-11)
35	Strategist	0.50	×0.35	×0.83	×1.000	14.3%	1.1%	1481(-11)
36	ArcticWolf	0.50	×0.35	×0.83	×1.000	14.3%	1.1%	1424(-11)
37	Casillas	1.00	×0.41	×0.35	×0.985	14.0%	1.1%	1361(+11)
38	Zidane	1.00	×0.41	×0.35	×0.978	13.9%	1.1%	1367(+11)
39	RadiantRam	0.50	×0.35	×0.83	×0.955	13.7%	1.1%	1281(-11)
40	Analyst	1.00	×0.41	×0.35	×0.955	13.6%	1.0%	1343(+11)
41	Beckham	1.00	×0.41	×0.35	×0.936	13.3%	1.0%	1190(+11)
42	Rooney	1.00	×0.35	×0.38	×0.969	12.7%	1.0%	1375(+11)
43	Kante	1.00	×0.28	×0.38	×1.000	10.6%	0.8%	1569(+11)
44	Tactician	1.00	×0.28	×0.38	×0.993	10.5%	0.8%	1309(+11)
45	DeBruyne	1.00	×0.28	×0.38	×0.985	10.4%	0.8%	1395(+11)
46	AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	1.00	×0.27	×0.38	×0.991	10.2%	0.8%	1527(+11)
47	PrismPuma	0.20	×0.79	×0.50	×1.000	7.8%	0.6%	1412(-11)
48	VanDijk	0.10	×0.79	×0.94	×1.000	7.4%	0.6%	1667(-11)
49	ZenithZebra	0.20	×0.77	×0.48	×1.000	7.4%	0.6%	1425(-11)
50	RoyalGriffin	0.20	×0.77	×0.48	×0.982	7.3%	0.6%	1271(-11)
51	Haaland	0.20	×0.77	×0.48	×0.979	7.3%	0.6%	1332(-11)
52	GoldenEagle	0.10	×0.79	×0.94	×0.977	7.2%	0.6%	1287(-11)
53	Pirlo	0.10	×0.76	×0.91	×1.000	6.9%	0.5%	1434(-11)
54	Ronaldo	0.10	×0.80	×0.86	×1.000	6.9%	0.5%	1381(-11)
55	Modric	0.20	×0.68	×0.51	×1.000	6.9%	0.5%	1438(-11)
56	Casual	0.20	×0.70	×0.49	×1.000	6.9%	0.5%	1545(-11)
57	Maverick	0.20	×0.67	×0.51	×0.992	6.8%	0.5%	1378(-11)
58	ThunderBear	0.20	×0.76	×0.47	×0.958	6.8%	0.5%	1325(-11)
59	Cantona	0.10	×0.80	×0.85	×0.988	6.8%	0.5%	1353(-11)
60	OnyxOrca	0.50	×0.80	×0.16	×1.000	6.6%	0.5%	1436(-11)
61	Gerrard	0.20	×0.80	×0.41	×0.982	6.5%	0.5%	1335(-11)
62	Follower	0.20	×0.80	×0.41	×0.958	6.4%	0.5%	1275(-11)
63	NeonCobra	0.20	×0.80	×0.41	×0.969	6.3%	0.5%	1285(-11)
64	Optimist	0.50	×0.81	×0.16	×0.962	6.1%	0.5%	1259(-11)
65	Salah	0.10	×0.68	×0.96	×0.950	6.1%	0.5%	1184(-11)
66	Intuitive	0.10	×0.61	×0.97	×1.000	5.9%	0.5%	1469(-11)
67	VoltKestrel	0.20	×0.80	×0.37	×0.980	5.8%	0.4%	1316(-11)
68	Kroos	0.20	×0.52	×0.51	×0.977	5.2%	0.4%	1315(-11)
69	ElectricEel	0.20	×0.52	×0.51	×0.976	5.2%	0.4%	1353(-11)
70	Kane	0.20	×0.81	×0.33	×0.968	5.2%	0.4%	1287(-11)
71	Level 2: MarketBot	0.20	×0.47	×0.55	×1.000	5.2%	0.0%	1493(-11)
72	Level 1: MathBot	0.20	×0.47	×0.55	×1.000	5.2%	0.0%	1512(-11)
73	SteelRaven	0.20	×0.47	×0.55	×0.991	5.1%	0.0%	1362(-11)
74	Contrarian	0.10	×0.52	×0.96	×0.975	4.9%	0.0%	1373(-11)
75	Prophet	0.10	×0.47	×1.00	×1.000	4.7%	0.0%	1439(-11)
76	Lampard	0.20	×0.41	×0.55	×0.994	4.5%	0.0%	1413(-11)
77	MysticPhoenix	0.20	×0.80	×0.28	×0.972	4.4%	0.0%	1228(-11)
78	Scout	0.20	×0.41	×0.55	×0.963	4.4%	0.0%	1288(-11)
79	Buffon	0.10	×0.41	×1.00	×0.988	4.1%	0.0%	1343(-11)
80	EmberMoose	0.10	×0.41	×1.00	×0.974	4.0%	0.0%	1283(-11)
81	Bergkamp	0.20	×0.35	×0.52	×1.000	3.6%	0.0%	1471(-11)
82	Wildcard	0.20	×0.35	×0.52	×0.985	3.5%	0.0%	1375(-11)
83	Platini	0.20	×0.35	×0.52	×0.977	3.5%	0.0%	1323(-11)
84	IronWolf	0.10	×0.35	×0.97	×0.999	3.3%	0.0%	1398(-11)
85	Statistician	0.10	×0.35	×0.97	×0.987	3.3%	0.0%	1322(-11)
86	Newcomer	0.20	×0.28	×0.51	×0.963	2.7%	0.0%	1292(-11)
87	Underdog	0.50	×0.61	×0.08	×1.000	2.4%	0.0%	1482(-11)
88	MidnightCrow	0.50	×0.61	×0.08	×0.968	2.3%	0.0%	1362(-11)
89	RubyRaptor	0.50	×0.64	×0.06	×0.996	1.9%	0.0%	1318(-11)
90	Consensus	0.50	×0.79	×0.05	×0.982	1.9%	0.0%	1458(-11)
91	ApexAlpaca	0.50	×0.70	×0.04	×1.000	1.4%	0.0%	1488(-11)
92	Momentum	0.50	×0.70	×0.04	×0.942	1.3%	0.0%	1130(-11)
93	BlazeCheetah	0.50	×0.81	×0.03	×0.994	1.3%	0.0%	1522(-11)
94	BronzeBull	0.50	×0.72	×0.03	×1.000	1.2%	0.0%	1388(-11)
95	Mbappe	0.50	×0.72	×0.03	×0.980	1.2%	0.0%	1348(-11)
96	StormLion	0.50	×0.35	×0.07	×1.000	1.2%	0.0%	1489(-11)
97	SwiftFox	0.50	×0.78	×0.03	×0.963	1.2%	0.0%	1236(-11)
98	Neymar	0.50	×0.28	×0.06	×1.000	0.9%	0.0%	1555(-11)
99	IceTiger	0.50	×0.28	×0.06	×0.977	0.9%	0.0%	1361(-11)
100	Ibra	0.50	×0.80	×0.01	×0.989	0.4%	0.0%	1345(-11)
101	Platform Anchor	0.50	×1.00	×0.00	×1.000	0.0%	0.0%	1655(-10)

Final Outcome

-1.00

PredictionsS_Final = B_Acc × M_Comm × M_Conv × M_Skill

Player	Pred	μ	σ	C	Dev	T_R	Time
AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	-1.00	1468	211	-0.16	-0.84	4m	18:00
DeBruyne	-1.00	1442	211	-0.14	-0.86	4m	18:00
Kante	-1.00	1666	211	-0.14	-0.86	4m	18:00
Neymar	+0.00	1535	211	-0.14	+0.14	4m	18:00
IceTiger	+0.00	1413	211	-0.14	+0.14	4m	18:00
Tactician	-1.00	1472	211	-0.14	-0.86	4m	18:00
Newcomer	+1.00	1361	211	-0.14	+1.14	4m	18:00
Statistician	+2.00	1449	211	-0.15	+2.15	9m	17:55
Bergkamp	+1.00	1500	211	-0.15	+1.15	9m	17:55
ArcticWolf	-2.00	1528	211	-0.15	-1.85	9m	17:55
Wildcard	+1.00	1442	211	-0.15	+1.15	9m	17:55
Strategist	-2.00	1563	211	-0.15	-1.85	9m	17:55
RadiantRam	-2.00	1328	211	-0.15	-1.85	9m	17:55
IronWolf	+2.00	1498	211	-0.15	+2.15	9m	17:55
StormLion	+0.00	1554	211	-0.15	+0.15	9m	17:55
Rooney	-1.00	1383	211	-0.15	-0.85	9m	17:55
Platini	+1.00	1412	211	-0.15	+1.15	9m	17:55
Scout	+1.00	1359	211	-0.23	+1.23	14m	17:50
Analyst	-1.00	1331	211	-0.23	-0.77	14m	17:50
Suarez	-2.00	1390	211	-0.23	-1.77	14m	17:50
Buffon	+2.00	1453	211	-0.23	+2.23	14m	17:50
EmberMoose	+2.00	1401	211	-0.23	+2.23	14m	17:50
Casillas	-1.00	1444	211	-0.23	-0.77	14m	17:50
Beckham	-1.00	1258	211	-0.23	-0.77	14m	17:50
CrimsonFalcon	-2.00	1428	211	-0.23	-1.77	14m	17:50
Lampard	+1.00	1478	211	-0.23	+1.23	14m	17:50
Zidane	-1.00	1417	211	-0.23	-0.77	14m	17:50
Level 1: MathBot	+1.00	1539	211	-0.23	+1.23	19m	17:45
CosmicViper	-2.00	1500	211	-0.23	-1.77	19m	17:45
SteelRaven	+1.00	1467	211	-0.23	+1.23	19m	17:45
Steady	-2.00	1415	211	-0.23	-1.77	19m	17:45
Prophet	+2.00	1517	211	-0.23	+2.23	19m	17:45
Shearer	-2.00	1563	211	-0.23	-1.77	19m	17:45
Skeptic	-2.00	1279	211	-0.23	-1.77	19m	17:45
Level 2: MarketBot	+1.00	1545	211	-0.22	+1.22	19m	17:45
ElectricEel	+1.00	1408	211	-0.15	+1.15	24m	17:40
Kroos	+1.00	1412	211	-0.15	+1.15	24m	17:40
Kompany	-1.00	1439	211	-0.15	-0.85	24m	17:40
JadeJaguar	-2.00	1445	211	-0.15	-1.85	24m	17:40
Contrarian	+2.00	1405	211	-0.15	+2.15	24m	17:40
Scholes	-1.00	1364	211	-0.15	-0.85	24m	17:40
Maradona	-1.00	1509	211	-0.20	-0.80	29m	17:35
Aguero	-2.00	1452	211	-0.17	-1.83	34m	17:30
ShadowPanther	-2.00	1607	211	-0.17	-1.83	34m	17:30
Underdog	+0.00	1572	211	-0.17	+0.17	34m	17:30
Intuitive	+2.00	1526	211	-0.17	+2.17	34m	17:30
MidnightCrow	+0.00	1379	211	-0.17	+0.17	34m	17:30
TrendChaser	-2.00	1432	216	-0.13	-1.87	39m	17:25
RubyRaptor	+0.00	1484	216	-0.13	+0.13	39m	17:25
Maverick	+1.00	1469	216	-0.13	+1.13	44m	17:20
Salah	+2.00	1303	216	-0.13	+2.13	44m	17:20
Drogba	-1.00	1397	216	-0.13	-0.87	44m	17:20
Modric	+1.00	1525	216	-0.13	+1.13	44m	17:20
ApexAlpaca	+0.00	1546	216	-0.09	+0.09	49m	17:15
Veteran	-1.00	1516	216	-0.09	-0.91	49m	17:15
Casual	+1.00	1594	216	-0.09	+1.09	49m	17:15
Momentum	+0.00	1275	216	-0.09	+0.09	49m	17:15
Maldini	-1.00	1502	216	-0.09	-0.91	49m	17:15
BronzeBull	+0.00	1529	216	-0.08	+0.08	54m	17:10
Mbappe	+0.00	1420	216	-0.08	+0.08	54m	17:10
Henry	-2.00	1526	216	-0.08	-1.92	54m	17:10
Calculator	-1.00	1520	216	+0.04	-1.04	59m	17:05
Pirlo	+2.00	1516	216	-0.04	+2.04	1h 4m	17:00
ThunderBear	+1.00	1336	216	-0.04	+1.04	1h 4m	17:00
ZenithZebra	+1.00	1532	216	-0.07	+1.07	1h 9m	16:55
Haaland	+1.00	1417	216	-0.07	+1.07	1h 9m	16:55
RoyalGriffin	+1.00	1430	216	-0.07	+1.07	1h 9m	16:55
Insider	-2.00	1520	216	-0.07	-1.93	1h 9m	16:55
SwiftFox	+0.00	1355	216	-0.07	+0.07	1h 14m	16:50
VanDijk	+2.00	1654	216	-0.11	+2.11	1h 19m	16:45
PrismPuma	+1.00	1507	216	-0.11	+1.11	1h 19m	16:45
TurboStag	-2.00	1437	216	-0.11	-1.89	1h 19m	16:45
Consensus	+0.00	1432	216	-0.11	+0.11	1h 19m	16:45
Favourite	-1.00	1431	216	-0.11	-0.89	1h 19m	16:45
GoldenEagle	+2.00	1411	216	-0.09	+2.09	1h 24m	16:40
RiskTaker	-1.00	1395	216	-0.09	-0.91	1h 24m	16:40
Pele	-1.00	1620	216	-0.02	-0.98	1h 29m	16:35
Ibra	+0.00	1457	216	-0.02	+0.02	1h 29m	16:35
SapphireShark	-1.00	1494	216	-0.02	-0.98	1h 29m	16:35
TitanHorse	-2.00	1276	216	+0.01	-2.01	1h 34m	16:30
NovaLynx	-1.00	1334	216	+0.09	-1.09	1h 39m	16:25
NightOwl	-1.00	1531	216	+0.09	-1.09	1h 44m	16:20
NeonCobra	+1.00	1380	216	+0.09	+0.91	1h 44m	16:20
Cruyff	-2.00	1488	216	+0.09	-2.09	1h 44m	16:20
Cantona	+2.00	1454	216	+0.10	+1.90	1h 49m	16:15
Pessimist	-2.00	1541	216	+0.09	-2.09	1h 54m	16:10
Ronaldo	+2.00	1499	216	+0.07	+1.93	2h 9m	15:55
Gerrard	+1.00	1430	216	+0.07	+0.93	2h 9m	15:55
Follower	+1.00	1338	216	+0.07	+0.93	2h 9m	15:55
MysticPhoenix	+1.00	1389	216	+0.36	+0.64	2h 24m	15:40
OnyxOrca	+0.00	1537	216	+0.36	-0.36	2h 24m	15:40
Ramos	-2.00	1398	216	+0.36	-2.36	2h 24m	15:40
SilverHawk	-2.00	1350	216	+0.38	-2.38	2h 29m	15:35
VoltKestrel	+1.00	1423	216	+0.18	+0.82	2h 34m	15:30
Optimist	+0.00	1351	216	+0.35	-0.35	3h 4m	15:00
Kane	+1.00	1374	216	+0.26	+0.74	3h 24m	14:40
FireDragon	-1.00	1453	216	+0.24	-1.24	3h 29m	14:35
VenomVulture	-2.00	1422	216	+0.28	-2.28	4h 14m	13:50
BlazeCheetah	+0.00	1475	216	+0.07	-0.07	4h 29m	13:35
Level 3: OracleBot	-2.00	1500	350	-0.50	-1.50	47h 59m	18:05
Platform Anchor	+0.00	1500	350	—	+0.17	48h 4m	18:00