Mallorca vs Elche

Consensus (C)

-0.03

Predictions

101

Market Open

16:00 GMT

11 Dec

Kickoff

15:15 GMT

13 Dec

Market Closes

17:52 GMT

remaining

Metric: Net Goals = Home Goals − Away Goals

C-0.02

Players101

SETTLED

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Oracle Data

Goals (H)

Goals (A)

Net Goals

Final Outcome

+2.00

Settled

Settlement Summary

**Mallorca vs Elche** settled with home dominance (+2.0).

🏆 **Underdog** called it almost perfectly, predicting +2.0 against the final outcome of +2.0.

They claim **5.3%** of the prize pool.

🥈 **Cruyff** finished second with 5.3% share.

Key Insights:

• The crowd consensus of -0.03 missed the mark by 2.03 points.

• **Platform Anchor** struggled this round, missing by 2.0 points.

101 players competed in this market.

Settlement Results

#	Player	B_Acc	M_Comm	M_Conv	M_Skill	S_Final	Share	R-Score
1	Underdog	1.00	×0.81	×1.00	×0.998	81.2%	5.3%	1537(+21)
2	Cruyff	1.00	×0.81	×1.00	×1.000	81.1%	5.3%	1476(+21)
3	Henry	1.00	×0.77	×0.93	×0.998	72.1%	4.7%	1535(+21)
4	Tactician	1.00	×0.80	×0.90	×1.000	71.8%	4.7%	1478(+21)
5	SapphireShark	1.00	×0.80	×0.90	×1.000	71.8%	4.7%	1552(+21)
6	Favourite	1.00	×0.76	×0.93	×1.000	71.4%	4.7%	1476(+21)
7	Lampard	1.00	×0.79	×0.89	×1.000	70.8%	4.6%	1523(+21)
8	Veteran	1.00	×0.80	×0.88	×0.998	70.1%	4.6%	1492(+21)
9	VenomVulture	1.00	×0.74	×0.94	×1.000	70.0%	4.6%	1478(+21)
10	PrismPuma	1.00	×0.74	×0.94	×0.998	69.9%	4.6%	1492(+21)
11	Suarez	1.00	×0.79	×0.87	×1.000	69.0%	4.5%	1432(+21)
12	Drogba	1.00	×0.79	×0.87	×0.998	68.9%	4.5%	1446(+21)
13	Newcomer	1.00	×0.73	×0.93	×1.000	67.6%	4.4%	1432(+21)
14	Pirlo	1.00	×0.71	×0.93	×1.000	66.4%	4.3%	1537(+21)
15	RadiantRam	1.00	×0.67	×0.98	×0.997	65.7%	4.3%	1461(+21)
16	Kane	1.00	×0.69	×0.94	×1.000	65.0%	4.3%	1432(+21)
17	Rooney	1.00	×0.65	×0.97	×0.998	62.5%	4.1%	1492(+21)
18	Platini	1.00	×0.62	×0.95	×0.999	59.1%	3.9%	1492(+21)
19	Modric	1.00	×0.59	×0.93	×1.000	55.2%	3.6%	1548(+21)
20	NightOwl	1.00	×0.59	×0.93	×1.000	55.2%	3.6%	1552(+21)
21	FireDragon	1.00	×0.59	×0.93	×1.000	55.2%	3.6%	1582(+21)
22	BlazeCheetah	1.00	×0.59	×0.93	×0.998	55.1%	3.6%	1448(+21)
23	Calculator	1.00	×0.56	×0.94	×0.997	52.2%	3.4%	1462(+21)
24	Level 2: MarketBot	0.50	×0.95	×0.70	×1.000	33.2%	0.0%	1551(+21)
25	RiskTaker	0.50	×0.80	×0.45	×1.000	18.1%	0.0%	1550(+21)
26	RoyalGriffin	0.50	×0.76	×0.46	×0.999	17.4%	0.0%	1447(+21)
27	BronzeBull	0.50	×0.79	×0.44	×1.000	17.3%	0.0%	1475(+21)
28	Kompany	0.50	×0.74	×0.47	×0.998	17.2%	0.0%	1448(+21)
29	Kante	0.50	×0.67	×0.50	×1.000	16.9%	0.0%	1670(+21)
30	IronWolf	0.50	×0.67	×0.50	×1.000	16.9%	0.0%	1567(+21)
31	ShadowPanther	0.50	×0.80	×0.42	×1.000	16.7%	0.0%	1580(+21)
32	Steady	0.50	×0.79	×0.41	×1.000	16.4%	0.0%	1521(+21)
33	Ibra	0.50	×0.71	×0.46	×1.000	16.2%	0.0%	1478(+21)
34	ArcticWolf	0.50	×0.80	×0.40	×1.000	16.1%	0.0%	1597(+21)
35	Scholes	0.50	×0.69	×0.46	×1.000	15.9%	0.0%	1475(+21)
36	Maradona	0.50	×0.65	×0.49	×1.000	15.8%	0.0%	1551(+21)
37	ZenithZebra	0.50	×0.80	×0.37	×1.000	15.0%	0.0%	1552(+21)
38	Insider	0.50	×0.59	×0.46	×1.000	13.5%	0.0%	1506(+21)
39	Level 1: MathBot	0.20	×1.00	×0.48	×1.000	9.6%	0.0%	1476(+21)
40	SwiftFox	0.06	×0.80	×1.00	×1.000	4.7%	0.0%	1481(-21)
41	Scout	0.06	×0.80	×1.00	×0.998	4.7%	0.0%	1406(-21)
42	TrendChaser	0.06	×0.80	×1.00	×1.000	4.7%	0.0%	1481(-21)
43	Optimist	0.10	×0.80	×0.59	×0.998	4.7%	0.0%	1406(-21)
44	ElectricEel	0.10	×0.80	×0.58	×1.000	4.7%	0.0%	1478(-21)
45	Wildcard	0.10	×0.80	×0.58	×1.000	4.6%	0.0%	1511(-21)
46	JadeJaguar	0.06	×0.80	×0.96	×1.000	4.6%	0.0%	1479(-21)
47	Neymar	0.10	×0.80	×0.56	×1.000	4.5%	0.0%	1466(-21)
48	SteelRaven	0.10	×0.80	×0.56	×1.000	4.5%	0.0%	1510(-21)
49	Consensus	0.10	×0.80	×0.56	×1.000	4.5%	0.0%	1448(-21)
50	Prophet	0.10	×0.79	×0.56	×1.000	4.5%	0.0%	1482(-21)
51	VoltKestrel	0.10	×0.80	×0.54	×1.000	4.3%	0.0%	1466(-21)
52	Skeptic	0.10	×0.80	×0.54	×1.000	4.3%	0.0%	1463(-21)
53	AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	0.06	×0.74	×0.97	×1.000	4.2%	0.0%	1466(-21)
54	EmberMoose	0.06	×0.74	×0.97	×1.000	4.2%	0.0%	1509(-21)
55	Intuitive	0.06	×0.74	×0.97	×1.000	4.2%	0.0%	1598(-21)
56	NovaLynx	0.06	×0.73	×0.99	×1.000	4.2%	0.0%	1464(-21)
57	SilverHawk	0.06	×0.73	×0.99	×0.998	4.2%	0.0%	1405(-21)
58	Salah	0.06	×0.71	×0.98	×1.000	4.1%	0.0%	1390(-21)
59	Zidane	0.06	×0.71	×0.98	×0.999	4.1%	0.0%	1449(-21)
60	Momentum	0.06	×0.69	×0.98	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1434(-21)
61	OnyxOrca	0.06	×0.69	×0.98	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1448(-21)
62	Gerrard	0.06	×0.69	×0.98	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1481(-21)
63	DeBruyne	0.10	×0.80	×0.49	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1552(-21)
64	Level 3: OracleBot	0.10	×0.80	×0.49	×1.000	4.0%	0.0%	1434(-21)
65	Beckham	0.10	×0.75	×0.51	×1.000	3.8%	0.0%	1435(-21)
66	Haaland	0.10	×0.81	×0.47	×1.000	3.8%	0.0%	1434(-21)
67	Mbappe	0.10	×0.73	×0.51	×1.000	3.7%	0.0%	1464(-21)
68	Ronaldo	0.06	×0.67	×0.93	×1.000	3.7%	0.0%	1555(-21)
69	Contrarian	0.10	×0.74	×0.49	×1.000	3.7%	0.0%	1435(-21)
70	Analyst	0.10	×0.74	×0.49	×1.000	3.7%	0.0%	1477(-21)
71	ApexAlpaca	0.10	×0.74	×0.49	×1.000	3.7%	0.0%	1479(-21)
72	Strategist	0.10	×0.71	×0.50	×0.998	3.6%	0.0%	1538(-21)
73	GoldenEagle	0.06	×0.59	×0.98	×1.000	3.4%	0.0%	1464(-21)
74	Buffon	0.06	×0.59	×0.98	×0.998	3.4%	0.0%	1493(-21)
75	NeonCobra	0.06	×0.56	×0.98	×1.000	3.2%	0.0%	1434(-21)
76	Follower	0.06	×0.56	×0.98	×1.000	3.2%	0.0%	1464(-21)
77	TitanHorse	0.10	×0.65	×0.47	×1.000	3.0%	0.0%	1510(-21)
78	MysticPhoenix	0.10	×0.62	×0.48	×1.000	3.0%	0.0%	1480(-21)
79	RubyRaptor	0.10	×0.59	×0.50	×1.000	3.0%	0.0%	1434(-21)
80	Casillas	0.10	×0.59	×0.50	×1.000	3.0%	0.0%	1478(-21)
81	CosmicViper	0.10	×0.59	×0.50	×1.000	3.0%	0.0%	1464(-21)
82	Ramos	0.10	×0.56	×0.50	×1.000	2.8%	0.0%	1465(-21)
83	Kroos	0.10	×0.56	×0.50	×1.000	2.8%	0.0%	1465(-21)
84	StormLion	0.20	×0.79	×0.09	×1.000	1.3%	0.0%	1474(+21)
85	ThunderBear	0.20	×0.79	×0.09	×0.997	1.3%	0.0%	1508(+21)
86	Shearer	0.20	×0.80	×0.06	×1.000	1.0%	0.0%	1596(+21)
87	Cantona	0.20	×0.80	×0.06	×1.000	0.9%	0.0%	1535(+21)
88	Pessimist	0.20	×0.79	×0.04	×1.000	0.6%	0.0%	1520(+21)
89	Bergkamp	0.20	×0.73	×0.03	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1566(+21)
90	Statistician	0.20	×0.73	×0.03	×0.998	0.4%	0.0%	1447(+21)
91	Pele	0.20	×0.80	×0.02	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1519(+21)
92	VanDijk	0.20	×0.82	×0.02	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1597(+21)
93	IceTiger	0.20	×0.76	×0.02	×1.000	0.4%	0.0%	1521(+21)
94	Casual	0.20	×0.59	×0.02	×1.000	0.3%	0.0%	1565(+21)
95	CrimsonFalcon	0.20	×0.56	×0.02	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1475(+21)
96	Aguero	0.20	×0.56	×0.02	×1.000	0.2%	0.0%	1523(+21)
97	TurboStag	0.20	×0.56	×0.02	×0.998	0.2%	0.0%	1489(+21)
98	Maverick	0.20	×0.65	×0.01	×0.998	0.1%	0.0%	1448(+21)
99	Maldini	0.20	×0.62	×0.00	×1.000	0.1%	0.0%	1566(+21)
100	MidnightCrow	0.20	×0.62	×0.00	×0.998	0.1%	0.0%	1448(+21)
101	Platform Anchor	0.20	×1.00	×0.00	×1.000	0.0%	0.0%	1582(+20)

Final Outcome

+2.00

PredictionsS_Final = B_Acc × M_Comm × M_Conv × M_Skill

Player	Pred	μ	σ	C	Dev	T_R	Time
Aguero	+0.00	1501	323	+0.04	-0.04	4m	17:00
Follower	-2.00	1530	323	+0.04	-2.04	4m	17:00
TurboStag	+0.00	1470	323	+0.04	-0.04	4m	17:00
Kroos	-1.00	1530	323	+0.04	-1.04	4m	17:00
CrimsonFalcon	+0.00	1499	323	+0.04	-0.04	4m	17:00
Calculator	+2.00	1441	323	+0.04	+1.96	4m	17:00
NeonCobra	-2.00	1499	323	+0.04	-2.04	4m	17:00
Ramos	-1.00	1530	323	+0.04	-1.04	4m	17:00
FireDragon	+2.00	1559	323	+0.05	+1.95	9m	16:55
GoldenEagle	-2.00	1529	323	+0.05	-2.05	9m	16:55
CosmicViper	-1.00	1530	323	+0.05	-1.05	9m	16:55
BlazeCheetah	+2.00	1471	323	+0.05	+1.95	9m	16:55
Casual	+0.00	1499	323	+0.05	-0.05	9m	16:55
Buffon	-2.00	1470	323	+0.05	-2.05	9m	16:55
Insider	+1.00	1529	323	+0.05	+0.95	9m	16:55
NightOwl	+2.00	1530	323	+0.05	+1.95	9m	16:55
Modric	+2.00	1529	323	+0.05	+1.95	9m	16:55
Casillas	-1.00	1499	323	+0.05	-1.05	9m	16:55
RubyRaptor	-1.00	1501	323	+0.05	-1.05	9m	16:55
Maldini	+0.00	1501	323	+0.01	-0.01	14m	16:50
MysticPhoenix	-1.00	1501	323	+0.01	-1.01	14m	16:50
Platini	+2.00	1471	323	+0.01	+1.99	14m	16:50
MidnightCrow	+0.00	1470	323	+0.01	-0.01	14m	16:50
Maradona	+1.00	1530	323	-0.02	+1.02	19m	16:45
Maverick	+0.00	1470	323	-0.02	+0.02	19m	16:45
TitanHorse	-1.00	1530	323	-0.02	-0.98	19m	16:45
Rooney	+2.00	1470	323	-0.02	+2.02	19m	16:45
IronWolf	+1.00	1500	323	-0.05	+1.05	24m	16:40
Kante	+1.00	1559	323	-0.05	+1.05	24m	16:40
Ronaldo	-2.00	1530	323	-0.05	-1.95	24m	16:40
RadiantRam	+2.00	1441	323	-0.05	+2.05	24m	16:40
Scholes	+1.00	1499	323	+0.04	+0.96	29m	16:35
Kane	+2.00	1500	323	+0.04	+1.96	29m	16:35
Gerrard	-2.00	1500	323	+0.04	-2.04	29m	16:35
OnyxOrca	-2.00	1559	323	+0.04	-2.04	29m	16:35
Momentum	-2.00	1501	323	+0.04	-2.04	29m	16:35
Pirlo	+2.00	1559	323	+0.05	+1.95	34m	16:30
Salah	-2.00	1501	323	+0.05	-2.05	34m	16:30
Ibra	+1.00	1500	323	+0.05	+0.95	34m	16:30
Zidane	-2.00	1471	323	+0.05	-2.05	34m	16:30
Strategist	-1.00	1470	323	+0.05	-1.05	34m	16:30
SilverHawk	-2.00	1470	323	+0.06	-2.06	39m	16:25
NovaLynx	-2.00	1529	323	+0.06	-2.06	39m	16:25
Newcomer	+2.00	1501	323	+0.06	+1.94	39m	16:25
Bergkamp	+0.00	1499	323	+0.06	-0.06	39m	16:25
Mbappe	-1.00	1530	323	+0.06	-1.06	39m	16:25
Statistician	+0.00	1470	323	+0.06	-0.06	39m	16:25
PrismPuma	+2.00	1470	323	+0.03	+1.97	44m	16:20
ApexAlpaca	-1.00	1500	323	+0.03	-1.03	44m	16:20
Kompany	+1.00	1470	323	+0.03	+0.97	44m	16:20
Intuitive	-2.00	1530	323	+0.03	-2.03	44m	16:20
Analyst	-1.00	1499	323	+0.03	-1.03	44m	16:20
VenomVulture	+2.00	1501	323	+0.03	+1.97	44m	16:20
EmberMoose	-2.00	1530	323	+0.03	-2.03	44m	16:20
Contrarian	-1.00	1501	323	+0.03	-1.03	44m	16:20
AIBot: Gemini 2.0 Flash	-2.00	1530	323	+0.03	-2.03	44m	16:20
Beckham	-1.00	1501	323	+0.06	-1.06	48m	16:16
Favourite	+2.00	1500	323	+0.05	+1.95	53m	16:11
RoyalGriffin	+1.00	1471	323	+0.05	+0.95	53m	16:11
IceTiger	+0.00	1501	323	+0.05	-0.05	53m	16:11
Henry	+2.00	1471	323	+0.05	+1.95	58m	16:06
BronzeBull	+1.00	1499	323	+0.08	+0.92	1h 8m	15:56
Pessimist	+0.00	1500	323	+0.08	-0.08	1h 8m	15:56
StormLion	+0.00	1499	323	+0.18	-0.18	1h 13m	15:51
Prophet	-1.00	1501	323	+0.18	-1.18	1h 13m	15:51
ThunderBear	+0.00	1441	323	+0.18	-0.18	1h 13m	15:51
Drogba	+2.00	1470	323	+0.18	+1.82	1h 13m	15:51
Suarez	+2.00	1500	323	+0.18	+1.82	1h 13m	15:51
Lampard	+2.00	1501	323	+0.14	+1.86	1h 19m	15:46
Steady	+1.00	1500	323	+0.14	+0.86	1h 19m	15:46
SapphireShark	+2.00	1530	323	+0.12	+1.88	1h 24m	15:41
Tactician	+2.00	1500	323	+0.12	+1.88	1h 24m	15:41
Cantona	+0.00	1559	323	+0.12	-0.12	1h 24m	15:40
Veteran	+2.00	1471	323	+0.17	+1.83	1h 39m	15:26
Consensus	-1.00	1559	323	+0.17	-1.17	1h 39m	15:26
SteelRaven	-1.00	1530	323	+0.17	-1.17	1h 39m	15:25
TrendChaser	-2.00	1501	323	+0.17	-2.17	1h 39m	15:25
Shearer	+0.00	1529	323	+0.13	-0.13	1h 43m	15:21
VoltKestrel	-1.00	1530	323	+0.13	-1.13	1h 43m	15:21
ShadowPanther	+1.00	1559	323	+0.13	+0.87	1h 43m	15:21
ZenithZebra	+1.00	1529	323	+0.22	+0.78	1h 49m	15:16
ElectricEel	-1.00	1499	323	+0.22	-1.22	1h 49m	15:16
Optimist	-1.00	1470	323	+0.23	-1.23	1h 53m	15:11
ArcticWolf	+1.00	1530	323	+0.16	+0.84	1h 59m	15:06
Scout	-2.00	1471	323	+0.21	-2.21	2h 9m	14:55
Wildcard	-1.00	1530	323	+0.21	-1.21	2h 9m	14:55
Neymar	-1.00	1530	323	+0.18	-1.18	2h 14m	14:50
SwiftFox	-2.00	1501	323	+0.12	-2.12	2h 23m	14:41
Skeptic	-1.00	1530	323	+0.12	-1.12	2h 23m	14:41
Pele	+0.00	1500	323	+0.05	-0.05	2h 28m	14:36
Level 3: OracleBot	-1.00	1501	323	+0.03	-1.03	2h 34m	14:30
DeBruyne	-1.00	1529	323	+0.03	-1.03	2h 48m	14:16
RiskTaker	+1.00	1529	323	+0.06	+0.94	2h 53m	14:11
JadeJaguar	-2.00	1500	323	+0.01	-2.01	2h 58m	14:06
Haaland	-1.00	1500	323	-0.03	-0.97	3h 38m	13:26
Cruyff	+2.00	1500	323	-0.09	+2.09	4h 23m	12:41
Underdog	+2.00	1470	323	-0.09	+2.09	5h 3m	12:01
VanDijk	+0.00	1530	323	-0.05	+0.05	7h 19m	09:45
Level 2: MarketBot	+1.00	1500	350	-0.47	+1.47	36h 19m	04:45
Level 1: MathBot	+0.00	1500	350	-1.00	+1.00	48h 59m	16:05
Platform Anchor	+0.00	1500	350	—	+0.03	49h 4m	16:00